2019年11月15日库页岛南部风暴潮数值模拟

IF 0.7 Q4 OCEANOGRAPHY Physical Oceanography Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI:10.22449/1573-160x-2020-4-364-373
A. Zaytsev, E. Pelinovsky, D. Doğan, A. Yalciner, B. Yalçiner, A. Kurkin, A. Moskvitin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

意图本文的目的是调查2019年11月15日萨哈林岛南部科尔萨科夫的风暴潮,并将其数值模拟结果与现场测量数据进行比较。方法和结果。对科尔萨科夫(萨哈林地区)的风暴潮进行了现场测量,并收集了洪水泛滥区域的数据。库页岛上的风暴期几乎是秋冬季节的年度事件。2019年11月15日发生在萨哈林南部地区的严重风暴导致科尔萨科夫港口地区被淹。由于NAMI-DANCE的计算复杂,风暴潮是在旋转地球上的球坐标浅水方程组框架内,考虑摩擦力和大气效应进行数值模拟的。计算包括从气候预测系统再分析数据库中获取的10米高度风速的时间和空间分布数据。由于研究区域的大气压力梯度很小,因此模拟中没有应用大气压力数据。在三天的时间里进行了模拟。模拟显示,在风力开始后的20小时内,港口的水位上升到最大值,并且一整天都没有下降。最高水位高度集中在阿尼瓦湾的西南部。在这种情况下,计算出的电流速度达到2米/秒。风暴期间,在风速高达15米/秒的情况下,科尔萨科夫港区的风暴潮高度为1.7米,而淹没区的宽度高达200米。现场测量数据很好地证实了这些结果。结论。文中给出了上述风暴功率特性的模拟值。科尔萨科夫市港口区的弗劳德数平方达到0.03,波浪强度矩的空间分布达到1m3/s2。现场测量和目击者报告证实了风暴潮对港口建设产生强烈影响的证据。
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Numerical Simulation of the Storm Surge at the Sakhalin Island Southern Part on November 15, 2019
Purpose. Investigation of the storm surge in Korsakov in the southern part of the Sakhalin Island on November 15, 2019 and comparison of the results of its numerical simulation with the data of in situ measurements constitute the aim of the article. Methods and Results. In situ measurements of the storm surge in Korsakov (the Sakhalin region) were performed and the data on the flooded area dimensions were collected. A storm period on the Sakhalin Island is almost the annual event in an autumn-winter season. The severe storm that happened in the southern Sakhalin region on November 15, 2019 led to flooding of the port territory in Korsakov. Due to the NAMI-DANCE computational complex, the storm surge was numerically simulated within the framework of the system of shallow water equations in the spherical coordinates on the rotating Earth with the regard for the friction force and the atmospheric effect. The calculations included the data on temporal and spatial distribution of the wind speed at the altitude 10 m taken from the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis database. The data on the atmospheric pressure were not applied in simulations since the atmosphere pressure gradient at the area under study was small. The simulation was carried out in the course of three days. The simulations showed that in 20 hours after the wind forcing had started, the water level in the port increased up to its maximum values, and did not fall the whole day. The water level maximum heights were concentrated in the southwestern part of the Aniva Bay. At that the calculated current speeds reached 2 m/s. During the storm, at the wind speed up to 15 m/s, the storm surge height in the Korsakov port area constituted 1.7 m, whereas the width of the flooded zone was up to 200 m. These results are confirmed well by the in situ measurement data. Conclusions. The simulation values of the power characteristics for the above-mentioned storm are represented in the paper. The Froude number square reaches 0.03 in the Korsakov city port area, and spatial distribution of the wave strength moment is up to 1 m3/s2. Field measurements and eyewitness reports confirm the evidence of a powerful impact of a storm surge upon the port constructions.
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来源期刊
Physical Oceanography
Physical Oceanography OCEANOGRAPHY-
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
25.00%
发文量
8
审稿时长
24 weeks
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