2000年至2018年恐怖主义的经济影响

IF 1.7 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Peace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI:10.1515/peps-2020-0031
H. Bardwell, M. Iqbal
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引用次数: 21

摘要

摘要本文估计,2018年恐怖主义的经济影响为330亿美元。从2000年到2018年的18年间,恐怖主义给世界经济造成了8550亿美元的损失。该模型遵循2019年全球恐怖主义指数的方法,并使用自下而上的成本核算方法来汇总恐怖主义事件产生的四个指标的成本。这四项指标包括与恐怖主义有关的死亡、受伤、财产损失和国内生产总值损失。本文的研究结果表明,全球恐怖主义在2014年达到顶峰,全球有33555人死亡,由此产生的经济影响达1110亿美元。从2011年到2014年,与恐怖主义有关的死亡人数增加了353%,恐怖事件增加了190%。分析中包括了100起伤亡经济影响最大的事件。2001年9月11日在美国发生的袭击事件是经济影响最大的事件,造成的伤亡仅为406亿美元,其次是伊拉克尼尼微辛贾尔的辛贾尔大屠杀,损失43亿美元。
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The Economic Impact of Terrorism from 2000 to 2018
Abstract This paper estimates the economic impact of terrorism at $US 33 billion in 2018. In the 18 years from 2000 to 2018, terrorism cost the world economy $US 855 billion. This model follows the methodology of the 2019 Global Terrorism Index and uses a bottom-up cost accounting approach to aggregate the cost of four indicators that result from the incidents of terrorism. The four indicators include terrorism-related deaths, injuries, property damage and GDP losses. The findings of this paper show that global terrorism peaked in 2014 with 33,555 deaths globally and a consequential economic impact of $US 111 billion. From 2011 to 2014, terrorism-related deaths increased by 353%, and terrorist incidents rose by 190%. The 100 incidents with the highest economic impact from deaths and injuries are included in the analysis. The September 11, 2001 attacks in the United States stands as the incident with the highest economic impact accounting for deaths and injuries only at $US 40.6 billion, this is followed by the Sinjar massacre in Sinjar, Nineveh, Iraq at $US 4.3 billion.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
10.00%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: The journal accepts rigorous, non-technical papers especially in research methods in peace science, but also regular papers dealing with all aspects of the peace science field, from pure abstract theory to practical applied research. As a guide to topics: - Arms Control and International Security - Artificial Intelligence and Cognitive Studies - Behavioral Studies - Conflict Analysis and Management - Cooperation, Alliances and Games - Crises and War Studies - Critical Economic Aspects of the Global Crises - Deterrence Theory - Empirical and Historical Studies on the Causes of War - Game, Prospect and Related Theory - Harmony and Conflict - Hierarchy Theory
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