乌克兰人口减少

D. Coleman
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摘要

乌克兰的地理环境得天独厚,但却受制于地理环境,乌克兰居民一再遭受破坏性的人口减少。1914–21年乌克兰的人口损失超过500万。第二次现代人口减少在1932年斯大林的人为饥荒期间达到顶峰,估计总人口损失为460万。第三次人口减少之后,超过700万乌克兰人在第二次世界大战中丧生。在1959年至1970年的人口普查期间,乌克兰人口迅速恢复。总生育率一直保持在更替水平,直到苏联解体,然后下降。生育率相对强劲的复苏在2012年发生了逆转,可能是由于俄罗斯入侵乌克兰东部,总生育率降至1.2。2022年初的人口约为3700万。乌克兰全球侨民是世界上分布最广泛的人口之一,2020年已有610万乌克兰人居住在国外。2022年2月俄罗斯入侵后,数千人死亡,数百万人被迫逃离。文章最后考虑了乌克兰的人口状况在未来可能会如何演变。本期年鉴是在2022年2月24日俄罗斯袭击乌克兰后定稿的。在这次受邀的反思中,大卫·科尔曼教授概述了乌克兰的人口历史和以前的挑战。(编者按)
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Depopulation of Ukraine
Blessed by its geology but a prisoner of its geography, the inhabitants of Ukraine have suffered repeated destructive depopulation. The population loss in the Ukraine 1914–21 was over five million. The second modern depopulation culminated in 1932 during Stalin’s manmade famine, with estimated total population losses of 4.6 million people. A third depopulation followed as over 7 million Ukrainians lost their lives in the Second World War. Between the censuses of 1959 and 1970 population of Ukraine recovered briskly. Total fertility remained at about replacement level until the end of the Soviet Union, then declined. A relatively strong recovery of fertility was reversed in 2012, presumably as a consequence of the Russian invasion in Eastern Ukraine, and total fertility dropped to 1.2. The population in early 2022 was around 37 million. The Ukrainian global diaspora is one of the most widely-distributed populations in the world, with 6.1 million Ukrainians living abroad already in 2020. After Russia’s invasion in February 2022 thousands have died and millions have been forced to flee. The article ends by considering how Ukraine’s demographic situation might evolve in the future. This issue of the Yearbook was finalised after Russia attacked Ukraine the 24th of February, 2022. In this invited reflection, professor David Coleman provides an overview of Ukraine’s demographic history and previous challenges. (Editor’s note)
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发文量
7
审稿时长
34 weeks
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