撒哈拉以南非洲国家过去极端降水-蒸散指数分析

M. Mbaye, A. Bodian, O. Kimambo, Fabienne Inès Rouamba, Elias Gaveta
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于气候变化,包括极端降水在内的极端天气和气候事件的频率、强度和严重程度都有所增加,对弱势社区的打击尤为严重。然而,在了解极端降水的特点及其对撒哈拉以南非洲社会社会经济活动的影响方面存在差距。该研究利用气候危害组红外降水和台站数据(CHIRPS)分析了1981年至2019年塞内加尔、布基纳法索、坦桑尼亚和马拉维的气候特征。利用标准化降水蒸发蒸腾指数(SPEI)和标准化降水指数(SPI)对长期观测的降水和水平衡异常进行了分类。研究发现,布基纳法索和塞内加尔的气候信号相似,布基纳法索降雨量更多。马拉维的降雨量超过坦桑尼亚。这四个国家都记录了极端事件的高降雨量变化。标准化的水文气候指数表明,这些撒哈拉以南国家遭受了严重的干旱,对农村人口的社会经济活动产生了负面影响。
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Analyses of Past Extremes Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Indices Over Sub-Saharan Countries
Extreme weather and climate events including extreme precipitation have increased in frequency, intensity, and severity due to climate change and hit vulnerable communities disproportionately hard. However, there is a gap in the understanding of the characteristics of extreme precipitation and their effects on socio-economic activities in sub-Saharan Africa societies. The study utilized climate hazards group infrared precipitation with station data (CHIRPS) to analyze the climate characteristics from 1981 to 2019 over Senegal, Burkina Faso, Tanzania, and Malawi. Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI) were used to classify the precipitation and water balance anomalies with respect to the long-term observations. It was found that Burkina Faso and Senegal have a similar climate signal with more rainfall in Burkina Faso. Malawi recorded more rainfall than Tanzania. All the four countries recorded a high rainfall variability of extreme events. Standardized hydro climatic indices have shown that these sub-Saharan countries have suffered severe droughts which have negatively affected the socio-economic activities among the rural populations.
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