贫困增长是否存在?来自世界主要贸易国的证据

Syed Tehseen Jawaid, Mariya Ahmad Qureshi, Samran Ali
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摘要

目的:本研究旨在唤醒对贫困化成长的经验调查尚未广泛开展的现实。本研究的主要目的是分析现实世界中贫困增长的实证存在。通过使用Laspeyres和Paasche数量指数,对福利运动实施了显示偏好理论,并对经验估计应用了逻辑回归。这项研究建立了世界上最大的贸易国的面板数据,包括美国、中国、法国、德国、英国、意大利、日本、荷兰和加拿大。本文使用了1981年至2017年广泛时间段的年度时间序列数据。Laspeyres和Paasche指数的研究结果显示,在9个国家中,有5个国家普遍存在经济增长的贫困现象,它们是意大利、加拿大、荷兰、英国和日本。面板逻辑回归的结果验证了贸易条件对所有纳入国家的贫困化增长的重要性。还对意大利、加拿大、荷兰显示出显著结果的所有五个国家进行了单独的逻辑回归。原创性/价值本研究是对贫困化增长概念的开创性尝试。考虑到大多数学者将贫困增长视为一种理论概念,本研究试图通过实际数据集对贫困增长的存在性进行分析研究。贸易条件恶化对世界最大贸易国福利的影响一直集中在符合Bhagwati(1958)概念的研究上。
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Does immiserizing growth exist? Evidence from world’s top trading nations
Purpose This study aims to motivate the reality that experiential investigation of immiserizing growth has not been performed at large. The key objective of the study is to analyse the empirical existence of immiserizing growth in the real world. Design/methodology/approach Theory of revealed preferences has been implemented for welfare movement by using Laspeyres and Paasche quantity index and for empirical estimations, logistic regression has been applied. The study established panel data of the world’s largest trading nations, including the USA, China, France, Germany, UK, Italy, Japan, the Netherland and Canada. Annual time series data for an extensive time period covering from 1981 till 2017 have been used. Findings Findings of the Laspeyres and Paasche index reveal that out of nine countries immiserizing growth prevails in five nations and those are Italy, Canada, the Netherland, UK and Japan. The results of panel logistic regression verify the significance of terms of trade on immiserizing growth in all included countries. Separate logistic regression has also been performed on all the five countries from which Italy, Canada, the Netherland exhibit significant results. Originality/value This study is a pioneer attempt towards the concept of immiserizing growth. Considering the fact that immiserizing growth is viewed by the majority of the scholars as a theoretical notion, this study attempts to investigate analytically the existence of immiserizing growth with real data set. The impact of terms of trade deterioration on the welfare of the world’s largest trading nations has been focused on the research which is in compliance with the concept of Bhagwati (1958).
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
4.20%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: The Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies (JCEFTS) negotiates China''s unique position within the international economy, and its interaction across the globe. From a truly international perspective, the journal publishes both qualitative and quantitative research in all areas of Chinese business and foreign trade, technical economics, business environment and business strategy. JCEFTS publishes high quality research papers, viewpoints, conceptual papers, case studies, literature reviews and general views. Emphasis is placed on the publication of articles which seek to link theory with application, or critically analyse real situations in terms of Chinese economics and business in China, with the objective of identifying good practice in these areas and assisting in the development of more appropriate arrangements for addressing crucial issues of Chinese economics and business. Papers accepted for publication will be double–blind peer-reviewed to ensure academic rigour and integrity.
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