再来一次?年轻民主国家的政党反复参选

IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-03-29 DOI:10.1111/ajps.12777
Raimondas Ibenskas, Marc van de Wardt
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引用次数: 0

摘要

政党为何以及如何继续参选("重复参选")是一个研究不足的问题,尽管这对政党的生存和政党制度的稳定至关重要。我们利用记录了近 1000 项参选决定的新数据集,对 10 个中东欧国家三十年选举中的重复参选情况进行了研究。我们的研究结果强调了根据政党在上次选举中是否能单独获得代表权来区分第一联盟和第二联盟政党的重要性。第一联盟政党(能够单独获得代表权的政党)几乎总是参加下一次选举。第二联盟政党(不能单独赢得代表权的政党)则经常退出选举竞争,并采取更多样化的重复参选策略。我们发现,第二联盟政党的重复参选取决于其与代表权门槛的接近程度、获得资源的机会以及其利基市场中竞争者的数量,而与制度约束或选民不满无关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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One More Time? Parties’ Repeated Electoral Entry in Younger Democracies

Why and how parties continue contesting elections (“repeated entry”) is an underresearched question despite its essence for party survival and party-system stability. We study repeated entry in three decades of elections in 10 Central and Eastern European countries using a new dataset that records almost 1,000 entry decisions. Our findings underline the importance of separating between first- and second-league parties based on whether in the previous election a party could obtain representation alone. First-league parties (those that could gain representation alone) almost always contest the next election. Second-league parties (those that could not win representation alone) exit electoral competition quite frequently and adopt more diverse repeated-entry strategies. We find that second-league parties’ repeated entry depends on their closeness to the representation threshold, access to resources, and the number of competitors in their niche, but not on institutional constraints or voter dissatisfaction.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
2.40%
发文量
61
期刊介绍: The American Journal of Political Science (AJPS) publishes research in all major areas of political science including American politics, public policy, international relations, comparative politics, political methodology, and political theory. Founded in 1956, the AJPS publishes articles that make outstanding contributions to scholarly knowledge about notable theoretical concerns, puzzles or controversies in any subfield of political science.
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