{"title":"“中国的切尔诺贝利”:COVID-19对崩溃和全球统治的叙述","authors":"Barry Sautman","doi":"10.5509/2021944683","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In COVID-19's first months, US politicians and media forecast that a contrast between Chinese deception and incapability and Western success against the pandemic might fatally sink internal confidence in China's party-state. They also predicted that it would diminish China externally,\n as it came to be seen as endangering the world by spreading biological pollution. A \"China's Chernobyl\" prediction became the latest \"China collapse\" wish-fulfillment. This speculation rests on two contradictory yet co-existing Yellow Peril tropes: \"deceit and incompetence\" and \"world domination.\"\n However, no empirical basis exists for either notion: China prevailed against the pandemic and lacks the capacity for global hegemony. \"China's Chernobyl\" is most relevant then as a wish that creates a belief, that China should and could collapse. That in turn bolsters the US-led mobilization\n to counter China as a \"strong competitor\" and frames China as the common enemy, thereby promoting Western transnational and US internal cohesion.","PeriodicalId":47041,"journal":{"name":"Pacific Affairs","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4000,"publicationDate":"2021-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"\\\"China's Chernobyl\\\": COVID-19 Narratives of Collapse and Global Domination\",\"authors\":\"Barry Sautman\",\"doi\":\"10.5509/2021944683\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In COVID-19's first months, US politicians and media forecast that a contrast between Chinese deception and incapability and Western success against the pandemic might fatally sink internal confidence in China's party-state. They also predicted that it would diminish China externally,\\n as it came to be seen as endangering the world by spreading biological pollution. A \\\"China's Chernobyl\\\" prediction became the latest \\\"China collapse\\\" wish-fulfillment. This speculation rests on two contradictory yet co-existing Yellow Peril tropes: \\\"deceit and incompetence\\\" and \\\"world domination.\\\"\\n However, no empirical basis exists for either notion: China prevailed against the pandemic and lacks the capacity for global hegemony. \\\"China's Chernobyl\\\" is most relevant then as a wish that creates a belief, that China should and could collapse. That in turn bolsters the US-led mobilization\\n to counter China as a \\\"strong competitor\\\" and frames China as the common enemy, thereby promoting Western transnational and US internal cohesion.\",\"PeriodicalId\":47041,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Pacific Affairs\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-12-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Pacific Affairs\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"90\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.5509/2021944683\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"社会学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"AREA STUDIES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Pacific Affairs","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.5509/2021944683","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"AREA STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
"China's Chernobyl": COVID-19 Narratives of Collapse and Global Domination
In COVID-19's first months, US politicians and media forecast that a contrast between Chinese deception and incapability and Western success against the pandemic might fatally sink internal confidence in China's party-state. They also predicted that it would diminish China externally,
as it came to be seen as endangering the world by spreading biological pollution. A "China's Chernobyl" prediction became the latest "China collapse" wish-fulfillment. This speculation rests on two contradictory yet co-existing Yellow Peril tropes: "deceit and incompetence" and "world domination."
However, no empirical basis exists for either notion: China prevailed against the pandemic and lacks the capacity for global hegemony. "China's Chernobyl" is most relevant then as a wish that creates a belief, that China should and could collapse. That in turn bolsters the US-led mobilization
to counter China as a "strong competitor" and frames China as the common enemy, thereby promoting Western transnational and US internal cohesion.
期刊介绍:
Pacific Affairs has, over the years, celebrated and fostered a community of scholars and people active in the life of Asia and the Pacific. It has published scholarly articles of contemporary significance on Asia and the Pacific since 1928. Its initial incarnation from 1926 to 1928 was as a newsletter for the Institute of Pacific Relations (IPR), but since May 1928, it has been published continuously as a quarterly under the same name. The IPR was a collaborative organization established in 1925 by leaders from several YMCA branches in the Asia Pacific, to “study the conditions of the Pacific people with a view to the improvement of their mutual relations.”