欧盟仍然是一台融合机器吗?

IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Acta Oeconomica Pub Date : 2022-03-25 DOI:10.1556/032.2022.00003
S. Nagy, D. Šiljak
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引用次数: 8

摘要

我们调查了2008/2009年金融危机后,欧盟是否可以被视为一个趋同机器。为此,我们对2004-2008年期间的人均GDP增长率与宏观经济变量之间的关系进行了计量检验,进一步细分为三个时期:2004-2008年、2009-2013年和2014-2018年。我们假设2008/2009年金融危机对σ和β收敛过程产生了负面影响。我们的研究结果支持趋同假说,即贫穷国家往往比富裕国家增长更快。收敛率在1.71%到4.51%之间。危机对收敛的负面影响仅在绝对收敛时才被发现。我们的研究结果表明,经济开放、通货膨胀和政府诚信对经济增长有积极影响。失业的影响尚未确定。
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Is the European Union still a convergence machine?
We investigate whether the European Union can be considered as a convergence machine after the 2008/2009 financial crisis. To do so, we econometrically test the relationship between the per capita GDP growth rate and macroeconomic variables in the period of 2004–2018, further subdivided into three periods: 2004–2008, 2009–2013 and 2014–2018. We hypothesize that the 2008/2009 financial crisis had a negative effect on the σ and β-convergence process. Our results support the convergence hypothesis, namely that the poor countries tend to grow faster than the rich countries. The convergence rates ranged between 1.71% and 4.51%. The negative effects of the crisis on convergence have been identified only for the absolute convergence. Our findings demonstrate that economic openness, inflation and government integrity have a positive impact on growth. The effects of unemployment have not been identified.
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来源期刊
Acta Oeconomica
Acta Oeconomica ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
25.00%
发文量
29
期刊介绍: Acta Oeconomica publishes articles on Eastern European and Hungarian economic transition, theoretical and general issues of the transition process, economic policy, econometrics and mathematical economics. Space is also devoted to international economics, European integration, labour economics, industrial organisation, finance and business economics.Publishes book reviews and advertisements.
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