通货膨胀目标制对工业地区经济发展的影响

P.S. Kuklinova, V. Ilyashenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

俄罗斯货币政策的首要目标是保持通胀接近目标水平。在通货膨胀目标制下,货币政策是在国家一级采取的,因此对全国所有地区都是统一的。然而,在制定的政策下,俄罗斯经济特征的地区之间通货膨胀率的差异变得更加重要,因为通货膨胀目标制对不同产业结构地区经济发展的可持续性产生不同的影响。本文旨在研究通货膨胀目标制对老工业区斯维尔德洛夫斯克州经济绩效的影响。研究的方法论基础是经济理论和宏观经济学的理论命题。作者采用了相关分析、因子分析、观察法和比较法。根据调查结果,自2015年以来实施通货膨胀目标制使斯维尔德洛夫斯克州的通货膨胀率降低并保持在较低水平。然而,它也导致反映其经济发展的关键指标恶化。研究得出结论,尽管在降低通货膨胀方面是有效的,但上述制度阻碍了工业区经济的可持续发展。
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The impact of the inflation-targeting regime on the economic development of an industrial region
The priority goal of Russia’s monetary policy is keeping inflation close to the target. Within the inflation-targeting regime, the monetary policy is adopted at the national level and therefore, is uniform for all regions of the country. However, differentiation of inflation rates between regions characteristic of Russia’s economy gains even greater importance under the enacted policy, because inflation targeting produces different effects on the sustainability of the economic development of regions with different industrial structures. The paper aims to study the impact of the inflation-targeting regime on the economic performance of the Sverdlovsk oblast, which belongs to old industrial regions. The methodological basis of the research consists of the theoretical propositions of economic theory and macroeconomics. The authors use correlation and factor analysis, methods of observation and comparison. According to the findings, implementing inflation targeting since 2015 has permitted to reduce inflation and keep it down in the Sverdlovsk oblast. However, it has also contributed to the deterioration of the key indicators reflecting its economic development. The study concludes that despite being effective in terms of reducing inflation, the said regime impedes sustainable economic development of the industrial region.
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审稿时长
16 weeks
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