右翼暴力会影响公众对极右翼政党的支持吗?来自德国的证据

IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Comparative Political Studies Pub Date : 2023-06-10 DOI:10.1177/00104140231169021
Werner Krause, Miku Matsunaga
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文考察了公民对极右翼政党的政治偏好在右翼极端主义暴力袭击后是否会发生变化。它从两个方面调查了这个问题。首先,它对2013年至2019年期间德国另类选择党(AfD)的公众支持率进行了时间序列研究。其次,本文采用准实验研究设计来考察右翼恐怖袭击对公民对移民态度的影响。两项研究都表明,在右翼极端分子发动袭击后,公众对德国新选择党及其纲领核心立场的支持有所增加。随后的分析表明,主流右翼的前选民尤其推动了这种效应。这些发现揭示了极右翼政党支持的决定因素,有助于长期以来关于政治暴力后果的辩论。
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Does Right-Wing Violence Affect Public Support for Radical Right Parties? Evidence from Germany
This article examines whether citizens’ political preferences toward radical right parties (RRPs) change after right-wing extremist violent attacks. It investigates this question in two ways. First, it presents a time-series study on public support for the RRP Alternative for Germany (AfD) between 2013 and 2019. Second, the article employs a quasi-experimental research design to examine the effect of a right-wing terrorist attack on citizens’ attitudes toward immigrants. Both studies indicate that public support for the AfD and its programmatic core positions increased after right-wing extremist attacks. Subsequent analyses suggest that former voters of the mainstream right, in particular, drive this effect. These findings shed light on the determinants of radical right party support, contributing to the long-standing debate on the consequences of political violence.
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来源期刊
Comparative Political Studies
Comparative Political Studies POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
4.00%
发文量
69
期刊介绍: Comparative Political Studies is a journal of social and political science which publishes scholarly work on comparative politics at both the cross-national and intra-national levels. We are particularly interested in articles which have an innovative theoretical argument and are based on sound and original empirical research. We also encourage submissions about comparative methodology, particularly when methodological arguments are closely linked with substantive issues in the field.
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