用谱表示法模拟时空相关风速时间序列

Qing Xiao;Lianghong Wu;Xiaowen Wu;Matthias Rätsch
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目标是对多个站点的风速时间序列进行建模。采用五参数Johnson分布将每个站点的风速与高斯时间序列联系起来,并利用得到的m维高斯随机向量过程$\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$来模拟$m$个不同站点的风速时空相关性。$\ln$一般来说,$\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$的自相关函数(ACFs)和互相关函数(CCFs)与风速时间序列的自相关函数(ACFs)不同,计算繁琐。为了避免这种相关失真问题,引入秩ACF和秩CCF来表征风速的时空相关性,从而解析得到$\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$的ACF和CCF。$\text{Then}$,通过傅里叶变换建立$\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$的交叉谱密度矩阵,并提出了一种解析生成$m$不同位置风速样本的方法。最后,通过模拟实验验证了所提方法的正确性,结果表明,五参数Johnson分布能较好地匹配风速分布函数,谱表示方法能较好地再现风速的时空相关性。
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Simulating Temporally and Spatially Correlated Wind Speed Time Series by Spectral Representation Method
In this paper, it aims to model wind speed time series at multiple sites. The five-parameter Johnson distribution is deployed to relate the wind speed at each site to a Gaussian time series, and the resultant m- dimensional Gaussian stochastic vector process $\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$ is employed to model the temporal-spatial correlation of wind speeds at $m$ different sites. $\ln$ general, it is computationally tedious to obtain the autocorrelation functions (ACFs) and cross-correlation functions (CCFs) of $\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$ , which are different to those of wind speed times series. In order to circumvent this correlation distortion problem, the rank ACF and rank CCF are introduced to characterize the temporal-spatial correlation of wind speeds, whereby the ACFs and CCFs of $\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$ can be analytically obtained. $\text{Then}$ , Fourier transformation is implemented to establish the cross-spectral density matrix of $\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$ , and an analytical approach is proposed to generate samples of wind speeds at $m$ different sites. Finally, simulation experiments are performed to check the proposed methods, and the results verify that the five-parameter Johnson distribution can accurately match distribution functions of wind speeds, and the spectral representation method can well reproduce the temporal-spatial correlation of wind speeds.
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