奥斯陆灾难30年后

IF 0.5 4区 社会学 Q3 AREA STUDIES Israel Affairs Pub Date : 2023-08-18 DOI:10.1080/13537121.2023.2247637
Efraim Karsh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

以色列和巴解组织之间的“奥斯陆和平进程”在欢欣鼓舞地启动30年后,成为自1948年战争以来以色列和巴勒斯坦遭受的最严重的灾难,也是以色列历史上最具灾难性的战略失误。奥斯陆进程用腐败和压制性的恐怖主义实体取代了以色列对西岸和加沙巴勒斯坦人的控制,这些实体向其国民灌输对犹太人和以色列人的强烈仇恨,并杀害了大约2 000名以色列人,向其人口中心投掷了数千枚火箭和导弹,从而使和平与和解的前景变得更加遥远。通过削弱以色列国防军(IDF)的战斗精神,它削弱了以色列的国家安全,并使爆发多线战争成为一种明显的可能性。通过将巴解组织(以及哈马斯,在较小程度上)转变为国际上接受的政治角色,而没有迫使他们放弃对犹太国家的毁灭的种族灭绝承诺,它削弱了以色列的国际地位。通过加深以色列的内部分裂和破坏其社会政治制度的稳定,它已经对这个犹太国家蓬勃发展的民主,甚至是它的存在造成了明显而现实的危险。
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The Oslo disaster 30 years on
ABSTRACT Thirty years after its euphoric launch, the ‘Oslo peace process’ between Israel and the PLO stands as the worst calamity to have afflicted Israelis and Palestinians since the 1948 war, and the most catastrophic strategic blunder in Israel’s history. By replacing Israel’s control of the West Bank and Gaza Palestinians with corrupt and repressive terrorist entities that indoctrinated their subjects with burning hatred of Jews and Israelis, as well as murdered some 2,000 Israelis and rained thousands of rockets and missiles on their population centres, the Oslo process has made the prospects for peace and reconciliation ever more remote. By deflating the combative ethos of the Israel Defence Forces (IDF), it has weakened Israel’s national security and made the outbreak of a multi-front war a distinct possibility. By transforming the PLO (and, to a lesser extent, Hamas) into internationally accepted political actors without forcing them to shed their genocidal commitment to the Jewish state’s destruction, it weakened Israel’s international standing. And by deepening Israel’s internal cleavages and destabilising its sociopolitical system, it has created a clear and present danger to the Jewish State’s thriving democracy, indeed to its very existence.
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来源期刊
Israel Affairs
Israel Affairs AREA STUDIES-
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
25.00%
发文量
65
期刊介绍: Whether your major interest is Israeli history or politics, literature or art, strategic affairs or economics, the Arab-Israeli conflict or Israel-diaspora relations, you will find articles and reviews that are incisive and contain even-handed analysis of the country and its problems in every issue of Israel Affairs, an international multidisciplinary journal. Scholarly and authoritative, yet straightforward and accessible, Israel Affairs aims to serve as a means of communication between the various communities interested in Israel: academics, policy-makers, practitioners, journalists and the informed public.
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