AUKUS安全条约的建立及其对印太地区稳定影响的建构主义分析

J. Korwa, Meyland S. F. Wambrauw
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文试图从建构主义的角度揭示AUKUS的形成及其对印太地区稳定的启示。本文采用定性研究和案例研究相结合的方法,发现AUKUS的形成受到建构主义两个基本要素的强烈影响:身份和兴趣。身份认同是指盎格鲁-撒克逊民族(包括加拿大和新西兰)之间的共同思想。尽管如此,由于新西兰致力于不扩散,它倾向于不加入AUKUS,而加拿大似乎对核潜艇计划没有任何贡献。AUKUS联盟的利益是:美国希望加强其在印太地区的霸权,并重新平衡中国的统治地位;英国渴望成为脱欧后第一个加强印太联盟合作的欧洲国家;以及澳大利亚愿意使其军事能力现代化,并申明其对其未来所依赖的盟友的承诺。建立AUKUS的影响可能包括:破坏该地区关于无核区的现状,削弱现有的合作协议,降低传统盟友之间的互信,并通过引发武装竞赛给该地区带来灾难。关键词:AUKUS;中国建构主义;印太地区;区域稳定性
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A Constructivist Analysis of the Establishment of the AUKUS Security Pact and its Implications for Regional Stability in the Indo-Pacific
This article attempts to shed light on AUKUS formation based on constructivist perspective and its implications for regional stability in the Indo-Pacific. Using a qualitative approach with a case study method, this article found that the formation of AUKUS is strongly influenced by two fundamental elements of constructivism: identity and interests. Identity refers to the shared ideas among the Anglo-Saxon nations (including Canada and New Zealand). Nevertheless, New Zealand tends not to join AUKUS due to its commitment to non-proliferation, while Canada seems to contribute nothing to the nuclear submarine program. The interests of the AUKUS alliance are: the US desires to strengthen its hegemony in the Indo-Pacific and rebalance China’s domination; the UK craves to become the first European country to enhance alliance cooperation in the Indo-Pacific after Brexit; and Australia’s willingness to modernize its military capability and affirms its commitment to which allies it counts on in the future. The implications of establishing AUKUS might include: undermining the status quo in the region concerning a nuclear-free zone, weakening existing cooperation agreements and reducing mutual trust between traditional allies, and bringing catastrophe to the region by triggering an armed race.   Keywords: AUKUS; China; Constructivism; Indo-Pacific; Regional Stability  
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