以信心制衡中国:2020 - 2022年澳大利亚对华外交政策

IF 1.3 Asia Policy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1353/asp.2023.0010
Ye Xue
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要:这篇文章探讨了北京对澳大利亚的经济制裁如何鼓励堪培拉加倍加强对中国的平衡战略。主要论点由于澳大利亚呼吁对新冠肺炎病毒的起源进行独立调查,澳大利亚和中国之间的政治分歧在2020年4月已经面临压力。作为回应,北京此后对澳大利亚的几个行业实施了经济制裁,利用经济胁迫来表达对堪培拉行动的敌意。然而,中国的经济胁迫非但没有让澳大利亚默许北京的偏好,反而反常地赋予了堪培拉权力,并使其有信心加强该国在印太地区的影响力,并在常规和新战线上与中国保持平衡。与此同时,这种信心的来源可能是不可持续的,平衡不应该是澳大利亚对华政策的唯一特征,也不应该阻碍重新设定关系的努力。政策含义•中国不是澳大利亚的战略竞争对手,如果没有与中国的有效、建设性关系,澳大利亚的战略利益就无法实现。外交、保证和合作也必须伴随着平衡中国的其他努力。•为了与中国建立有利于澳大利亚整体国家利益的双边关系,澳大利亚政府应该谨慎管理其发出的外交信号,以引导中国对澳大利亚的期望,同时也应该管理自己对中国的期望。•澳大利亚政策制定者应提高对中国领导人心理构成及其战略文化的理解,以帮助避免对中国动机和外交政策的误解和误解,并更好地解读北京方面旨在缓和两国关系的信号。
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Balancing against China with Confidence: Australia's Foreign Policy toward China in 2020–22
executive summary:This article examines how Beijing's economic sanctions on Australia have encouraged Canberra to double down on its balancing strategy toward China.main argumentWith the relationship already under pressure, political discord between Australia and China was exacerbated in April 2020 by Australia's call for an independent investigation into the origins of the Covid-19 virus. In response, Beijing has since targeted several Australian industries with economic sanctions, using economic coercion to express its hostility toward Canberra's actions. Far from causing Australia to acquiesce to Beijing's preferences, however, China's economic coercion has perversely empowered Canberra and given it confidence to shore up the country's influence in the Indo-Pacific area and balance against China on both conventional and new fronts. At the same time, the source of this confidence may not be sustainable, and balancing should not be the only feature of Australia's policy toward China or preclude efforts to reset the relationship.policy implications• China is not a strategic competitor to Australia, and Australia's strategic interests cannot be achieved without a functioning, constructive relationship with China. Diplomacy, reassurances, and cooperation must also accompany other efforts to balance China.• To attain a bilateral relationship with China that benefits Australia's overall national interest, the Australian government should carefully manage the diplomatic signals it sends to guide China's expectations of Australia, and it should at the same time manage its own expectations of China.• Australian policymakers should improve their understanding of the psychological makeup of Chinese leaders and their strategic culture to help avoid misconceptions and misunderstandings in China's motives and foreign policies and to better interpret signals from Beijing aimed at thawing the relationship.
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来源期刊
Asia Policy
Asia Policy Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
0.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
55
期刊介绍: Asia Policy is a peer-reviewed scholarly journal presenting policy-relevant academic research on the Asia-Pacific that draws clear and concise conclusions useful to today’s policymakers.
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