因子信息衰减:一项全球研究

SSRN Pub Date : 2022-11-10 DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3986499
Emlyn Flint, Rademeyer Vermaak
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究解决了因子投资文献中一个简单但重要的未回答问题:股票因子策略的因子敞口如何随着时间的推移而衰减?这个问题的答案有两个重要的实际后果。首先,了解战略的要素敞口如何随时间变化,从而确定最佳再平衡期。其次,当与因子风险溢价估计相结合时,它描述了每因子预期收益策略的期限结构。为了回答这个问题,作者对过去20年中12个发达市场和新兴市场的五个众所周知的因素——价值、动量、质量、投资和低波动性——进行了大规模的实证研究。他们计算纯和四分位数长短因子投资组合的每个市场的因子敞口或信息分布,然后分析这些分布如何在36个月的持有期内衰减。为了正式测量信息衰减率,他们引入了因子半衰期度量的概念,并使用全局半衰期结果来提出每个因子的最佳再平衡期。
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Factor Information Decay: A Global Study
This research addresses a simple but important unanswered question in the factor investing literature: How do the factor exposures of equity factor strategies decay over time? The answer to this question has two important practical consequences. First, understanding how a strategy’s factor exposures change over time informs the optimal rebalancing period. Second, when coupled with factor risk premia estimates, it describes the term structure of expected returns per factor strategy. To answer this question, the authors conduct a large-scale, empirical study of five well-known factors—value, momentum, quality, investment, and low volatility—across 12 developed and emerging markets over the last 20 years. They calculate factor exposure, or information, distributions per market for both pure and quartile long–short factor portfolios and then analyze how these distributions decay over a 36-month holding period. In order to formally measure the rate of information decay, they introduce the idea of a factor half-life metric and use the global half-life results to propose optimal rebalancing periods per factor.
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