使用机器学习预测影响移动送餐应用程序持续使用的主要因素

Ahmad A. Rabaa'i, Xiaodi Zhu, J. Jayaraman, Thi Diem Nguyen, Preeta P. Jha
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引用次数: 1

摘要

新冠肺炎疫情期间,移动送餐应用程序(MFDA)和在线送餐行业的受欢迎程度激增。尽管这些应用程序的使用量呈爆炸式增长,但为确定是什么影响了它们的持续使用,所做的研究相对有限。本研究预测了MFDA的持续使用,并使用一种新的基于机器学习(ML)的方法探索了影响MFDA使用的变量。机器学习模型包括四个不同的结构(即特征):感知兼容性、便利性、在线评论和交付体验。这些特征是使用测量仪器测量的。部署了八种不同的机器学习(ML)模型,从基本决策树到神经网络。所有八个模型都实现了93%以上的高预测精度,其中CatBoost模型的预测精度最高,达到98%。特征重要性分析显示,感知兼容性是影响MFDA持续使用的最重要因素,其次分别是便利性、在线评论和交付体验。该研究结果对MFDA的营销和设计产生了影响。考虑到感知兼容性的重要性,MFDA营销活动应重点强调这些应用程序与用户生活方式的契合程度。
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The use of machine learning to predict the main factors that influence the continuous usage of mobile food delivery apps
The popularity of mobile food delivery apps (MFDAs) and the online food delivery industry surged during the COVID-19 epidemic. Despite the explosive growth in the use of these apps, relatively limited research has been done to determine what affects their continuous use. This study predicts the continuous use of MFDAs and explores the variables that influence this utilization using a novel machine learning (ML) based approach. The machine learning models included four distinct constructs (i.e., features): perceived compatibility, convenience, online reviews, and delivery experience. These features were measured using a survey instrument. Eight different machine learning (ML) models, ranging from basic decision trees to neural networks, were deployed. All eight models achieved high prediction accuracy of above 93%, with the CatBoost model having the highest accuracy among them at 98%. Feature importance analysis revealed perceived compatibility to be the most important factor impacting the continuous usage of MFDAs followed by convenience, online reviews, and delivery experience respectively. The study’s findings have ramifications for MFDA marketing and design. Given the significance of perceived compatibility, MFDA marketing campaigns should have a strong emphasis on highlighting how well these apps fit with the users’ lifestyles.
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来源期刊
Model Assisted Statistics and Applications
Model Assisted Statistics and Applications Mathematics-Applied Mathematics
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
26
期刊介绍: Model Assisted Statistics and Applications is a peer reviewed international journal. Model Assisted Statistics means an improvement of inference and analysis by use of correlated information, or an underlying theoretical or design model. This might be the design, adjustment, estimation, or analytical phase of statistical project. This information may be survey generated or coming from an independent source. Original papers in the field of sampling theory, econometrics, time-series, design of experiments, and multivariate analysis will be preferred. Papers of both applied and theoretical topics are acceptable.
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