双边贸易协定如何阻碍多边协定:WTO为何被边缘化

IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.05.006
Jayson Beckman, Maros Ivanic, Saleem Shaik
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们在可计算的一般均衡模型中使用“纳什中的纳什”框架来确定跨太平洋伙伴关系国家的双边贸易协定的福利最大化。将这些协议与涉及所有国家/部门的协议进行比较,我们发现多边协议中的福利总是更大。这是因为一些部门经常被排除在双边协定之外,而且并非所有国家都会与其他国家签订双边协定。通常被排除在协议之外的部门是农业,因为这些部门在谈判中通常被视为“敏感”部门,并受到高额初始关税的保护。
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How bilateral trade deals get in the way of multilateral agreements: Why WTO is marginalized

We use a ‘Nash in Nash’ framework within a computable general equilibrium model to determine the welfare maximizing set of bilateral trade agreements for countries in the Trans-Pacific Partnership. Comparing these agreements to an agreement involving all countries/sectors, we find that welfare is always larger in the multilateral agreement. This is because several sectors are often excluded from the bilateral agreements, and not all countries would have a bilateral agreement with others. The sectors that are often excluded from the agreements are agriculture, as these sectors are often deemed ‘sensitive’ in negotiations and are protected by high initial tariffs.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
11.40%
发文量
76
期刊介绍: The Journal of Policy Modeling is published by Elsevier for the Society for Policy Modeling to provide a forum for analysis and debate concerning international policy issues. The journal addresses questions of critical import to the world community as a whole, and it focuses upon the economic, social, and political interdependencies between national and regional systems. This implies concern with international policies for the promotion of a better life for all human beings and, therefore, concentrates on improved methodological underpinnings for dealing with these problems.
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