卡塔尔新鲜骆驼奶消费与空肠弯曲杆菌和大肠弯曲杆菌的风险

H. Mohammed, Kenlyn E. Peters, Irene Rojas Nunez, A. Salem, S. Doiphode, A. Sultan
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摘要

弯曲杆菌属是世界各地食源性疾病的十大主要病因之一,能够引发严重的胃肠炎,并可能造成严重的后遗症。新鲜的骆驼奶是某些文化中最常见的款待方式之一。我们调查了卡塔尔食用被弯曲杆菌污染的骆驼奶的潜在疾病风险,并确定了有助于减轻其后果的关键干预点。定量风险评估(QRA)方法与确定性和随机方法相结合,以解决这一目标。通过对卡塔尔这些人群的重复横断面研究,获得了骆驼奶或人体内存在空肠梭菌或大肠杆菌可能性的数据。利用综合了危害数据、暴露概率和剂量反应模型的风险特征来计算不良健康影响的估计值。我们的分析表明,健康雌性因食用被空肠梭菌污染的骆驼奶而患病的概率在5 × 10-3至24 × 10-2之间,具体取决于所食用的奶量。男性患病风险较高(13 × 10-3 ~ 30 × 10-2)。与健康女性相比,免疫功能低下的女性患病的估计是健康女性的三倍。免疫功能低下的男性患病风险是健康男性的5倍。食用被空肠梭菌或大肠杆菌污染的骆驼奶所计算的患病风险,可以通过提高食用前消毒或巴氏消毒的效果来显著降低。
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The risk of Campylobacter jejuni and Campylobacter coli associated with the consumption of fresh camel milk in Qatar
Campylobacter spp. are among the ten top leading causes of foodborne diseases around the world and are capable of triggering severe gastroenteritis with potential for severe sequelae. Fresh camel milk is one of the most common hospitality gestures among certain cultures. We investigated the potential risk of illness from the consumption of camel milk contaminated with Campylobacter spp. in Qatar and identified critical intervention points that would contribute to mitigating its consequences. Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) methodology with a combination of deterministic and stochastic approaches was employed to address this objective. Data on the likelihood of either C. jejuni or C. coli in camel milk or in humans was obtained through repeat cross-sectional studies in these populations in Qatar. Estimates of the adverse health effects were computed using risk characterization which integrated data on the hazard, the probability of exposure, and dose-response models. Our analyses showed that the probability of illness for a healthy female from the consumption of camel milk contaminated with C. jejuni ranged from 5 x 10-3 to 24 x 10-2 depending on the amount of milk consumed. The risk of illness for males was higher (13 x 10-3 to 30 x 10-2). The estimates of illness were three times higher for immunocompromised females in comparison to healthy females. Immunocompromised males had five-times higher risk of illness in comparison to healthy men. The computed risk of illness from consumption of camel milk contaminated with either C. jejuni or C. coli could be significantly mitigated by increasing the efficacy of sterilizing or pasteurization before serving.
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