欧洲右翼民粹主义政党的主要选民:以德国新选择党和奥地利自由党为例

D. Y. Meshcheryakov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

关于某些团体是否可以被视为右翼民粹主义政党的选举中坚力量的政治争论正在进行。一方面,有人认为右翼民粹主义者没有“典型选民”的概念;另一方面,一些对不同国家选举活动的研究表明,可以根据社会、专业和人口特征来定义这些政党的选举支持团体。文中分析的“德国新选择党”和“奥地利自由党”的案例表明,后一种说法更有可能是正确的。这些支持团体可以在选举行为的社会学理论框架内,以及H. G. Betz的全球化输家理论和P. Norris和R. Inglehart的文化反弹理论中,利用现有的相关统计数据,主要是社会学调查的分析来确定。德国和奥地利的例子证明了一个假设,即男性、工人、没有受过高等教育的人和失业者更有可能投票给右翼民粹主义政党。
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The Main Electorate of Right-Wing Populist Parties in Europe: Cases of the Alternative for Germany and the Freedom Party of Austria
There is an ongoing political debate on whether certain groups can be considered the electoral backbone of right-wing populist parties. On the one hand, it is argued that there is no concept of a “typical voter” for right-wing populists; on the other hand, some studies of election campaigns in different countries show that it is possible to define electoral support groups for such political parties based on the social, professional, and demographic characteristics. The cases of the “Alternative for Germany” and the “Austrian Freedom Party” analyzed in the article demonstrate that the latter statement is more likely to be true. Those support groups can be identified within the framework of the sociological theory of electoral behavior, as well as the theories of the losers of globalization by H. G. Betz and the cultural backlash of P. Norris and R. Inglehart, using the analysis of existing relevant statistics, mainly sociological surveys. The examples of Germany and Austria prove the assumptions that men, workers, people with no higher education and the unemployed are more likely to vote for right-wing populist parties.
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