希望的黑暗面:理解投资者为何执着于亏损的股票

IF 1.8 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Journal of Behavioral Decision Making Pub Date : 2022-10-04 DOI:10.1002/bdm.2304
Siria Xiyueyao Luo, Femke van Horen, Kobe Millet, Marcel Zeelenberg
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引用次数: 1

摘要

投资者往往倾向于长期亏损股票,尽管这是非理性的。这种现象是性格效应的一部分(“人们卖空输家的时间过长,卖出赢家的时间过短”)。目前的研究考察了希望的作用,作为为什么人们骑失败者太久的潜在解释。三项相关研究(1A、1B和2)发现,人们的希望特质与他们持有亏损股票的倾向正相关,而不管他们的风险寻求倾向如何(研究2)。此外,三项实验研究(3、4和5)表明,人们倾向于持有亏损(相对于不亏损)的股票是因为他们希望收支平衡,而不是因为他们希望获利。研究4和研究5提供了过程证据,证实了希望的作用,并指出了潜在的干预措施,以减少人们通过减少希望而不断失去库存的倾向。这些发现有助于通过为希望的作用提供经验证据来研究情绪如何影响处置效应的有限实证文献。此外,研究结果揭示了希望在财务决策中的作用,并展示了这种积极情绪的“阴暗面”,从而增加了关于希望的文献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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A dark side of hope: Understanding why investors cling onto losing stocks

Investors are often inclined to keep losing stocks too long, despite this being irrational. This phenomenon is part of the disposition effect (“people ride losers too long, and sell winners too soon”). The current research examines the role of hope as a potential explanation of why people ride losers too long. Three correlational studies (1A, 1B, and 2) find that people's trait hope is positively associated with their inclination to keep losing stocks, regardless of their risk-seeking tendency (Study 2). Further, three experimental studies (3, 4, and 5) reveal that people are inclined to hold on to losing (vs. not-losing) stocks because of their hope to break even and not because of their hope to gain. Studies 4 and 5 provide process evidence confirming the role of hope and indicate potential interventions to decrease people's tendency to keep losing stocks by reducing the hope. The findings contribute to the limited empirical literature that has investigated how emotions influence the disposition effect by providing empirical evidence for the role of hope. Moreover, the findings add to the literature of hope by revealing its role in financial decision-making and show a “dark side” of this positive emotion.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
5.00%
发文量
40
期刊介绍: The Journal of Behavioral Decision Making is a multidisciplinary journal with a broad base of content and style. It publishes original empirical reports, critical review papers, theoretical analyses and methodological contributions. The Journal also features book, software and decision aiding technique reviews, abstracts of important articles published elsewhere and teaching suggestions. The objective of the Journal is to present and stimulate behavioral research on decision making and to provide a forum for the evaluation of complementary, contrasting and conflicting perspectives. These perspectives include psychology, management science, sociology, political science and economics. Studies of behavioral decision making in naturalistic and applied settings are encouraged.
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