政策与变化:退伍军人大规模枪击事件分析与社会工作的行动呼吁

Christopher Collins
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摘要

公共场合大规模枪击事件在美国相对罕见。因此,侧重于个人层面的因素来制定预防框架是不明智的。然而,从退伍军人开始,作为一个被过度代表的罪犯群体,可能是确定和制定防止大规模枪击事件的政策的重要一步。退伍军人管理局(VA)是美国最大的社会工作者雇主,雇佣了超过15,000名硕士级别的社会工作专业人员。对退伍军人管理局系统进行的政策和培训改革有可能开始减少公共大规模枪击事件。摘要本研究旨在探讨退伍军人身份或外泄现象是否会影响公共枪击事件的伤亡人数。此外,对与退伍军人、军人及其家属打交道的社会工作者发出了新的行动呼吁。采用负二项回归分析方法,对1966年至2019年美国发生的168起公共大规模枪击事件进行了分析。虽然退伍军人身份与伤亡人数增加无关,但这并没有强调限制高风险人群获得枪支的政策变化的重要性。此外,由于泄漏在解释大规模枪击事件的伤亡率方面具有统计学意义,因此对从事与退伍军人、军人及其家属治疗关系的社会工作者来说,额外的与警告责任相关的培训可能是必要的。负二项回归的结果为减少大规模枪击事件的有效政策干预提供了见解。
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Policy & Change: An Analysis of Veteran Perpetrated Mass Shootings & Social Work's Call to Action
Public mass shootings are relatively rare occurrences in the United States. As such, focusing on individual-level factors to develop a prevention framework is ill-advised. However, starting with veterans, as an overrepresented group of offenders, may be an important step to determining and developing policies that work to prevent mass shootings. The Veteran’s Administration (VA) is the largest employer of social workers in the United States and employs more than 15,000 master’s level social work professionals. Policy and training changes made to the VA system have the potential to begin reducing incidents of public mass shootings. The purpose of this study was to determine whether veteran-status or the phenomenon of leakage influences the number of casualties in public mass shootings. Further, a renewed call-to-action is issued for social workers engaged with veterans, military personnel, and their families. A negative binomial regression analysis was utilized to examine 168 public mass shootings events in the United States from 1966 until 2019. While veteran status was not associated with increased casualty this does not underscore the importance of policy changes that limit access to firearms for high-risk people. Further, because leakage was statistically significant in explaining casualty rates in mass shootings additional training related to duty to warn may be necessary for social workers engaged in therapeutic relationships with veterans, military personnel, and their families. The results of the negative binomial regression offer insights into what effective policy interventions may look like to reduce mass shootings.
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