人、狗和羊棘球蚴病干预的数学模型

IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Journal of Biological Dynamics Pub Date : 2022-05-30 DOI:10.1080/17513758.2022.2081368
Birhan Getachew Bitew, J. Munganga, Adamu Shitu Hassan
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在这项研究中,制定了一个囊肿棘球蚴病传播的干预模型。计算了该模型的无病和地方病平衡点。导出了模型的控制再现数,并通过的值建立了全局动力学。无病均衡是全局渐近稳定的当且仅当。因为,使用Volterra–Lyapunov稳定矩阵,证明了地方均衡是全局渐近稳定的。进行灵敏度分析,以确定CE动力学中最具影响力的参数。为了确定这种疾病的长期行为,进行了数值模拟。研究了控制策略的影响。研究表明,无论何时单独或结合环境清洁或消毒对绵羊进行疫苗接种,都可以消灭囊肿棘球蚴病。
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Mathematical modelling of echinococcosis in human, dogs and sheep with intervention
In this study, a model for the spread of cyst echinococcosis with interventions is formulated. The disease-free and endemic equilibrium points of the model are calculated. The control reproduction number for the model is derived, and the global dynamics are established by the values of . The disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if and only if . For , using Volterra–Lyapunov stable matrices, it is proven that the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Sensitivity analysis to identify the most influential parameters in the dynamics of CE is carried out. To establish the long-term behaviour of the disease, numerical simulations are performed. The impact of control strategies is investigated. It is shown that, whenever vaccination of sheep is carried out solely or in combination with cleaning or disinfecting of the environment, cyst echinococcosis can be wiped out.
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来源期刊
Journal of Biological Dynamics
Journal of Biological Dynamics ECOLOGY-MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
3.60%
发文量
28
审稿时长
33 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Biological Dynamics, an open access journal, publishes state of the art papers dealing with the analysis of dynamic models that arise from biological processes. The Journal focuses on dynamic phenomena at scales ranging from the level of individual organisms to that of populations, communities, and ecosystems in the fields of ecology and evolutionary biology, population dynamics, epidemiology, immunology, neuroscience, environmental science, and animal behavior. Papers in other areas are acceptable at the editors’ discretion. In addition to papers that analyze original mathematical models and develop new theories and analytic methods, the Journal welcomes papers that connect mathematical modeling and analysis to experimental and observational data. The Journal also publishes short notes, expository and review articles, book reviews and a section on open problems.
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