非法驾驶:加州向非法移民提供驾照时,汽车保险保持不变

IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Risk and Insurance Pub Date : 2022-05-12 DOI:10.1111/jori.12382
Hans Lueders, Micah Mumper
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引用次数: 2

摘要

几个州最近实施了驾驶执照改革,允许非法移民获得驾驶执照,旨在减少未投保的驾驶,降低保费。我们在加州议会第60号法案(AB60)的背景下检验了这一预期。AB60让大约260万非法移民获得了驾驶执照,是同类政策中规模最大的。利用AB60牌照估计数量的跨县差异,我们发现对汽车保险吸收或保费成本没有可衡量的影响。功率分析和多次稳健性检查证实了这一结论。我们认为,我们的结果表明,大多数新获得许可的非法移民在改革之前就已经在开车,以获得工作和基本服务。此外,未经授权的司机可能已经进入了保险车辆。我们的研究重新审视了有关驾照改革影响的突出主张,并为有争议的政策辩论提供了急需的经验证据。
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Driving while unauthorized: Auto insurance remains unchanged when providing driver licenses to unauthorized immigrants in California

Several states have recently implemented driver license reforms that give unauthorized immigrants access to driver licenses, aiming to reduce uninsured driving and lower premium costs. We test this expectation in the context of California's Assembly Bill 60 (AB60). AB60 gives about 2.6 million unauthorized immigrants access to driver licenses, making it the largest policy of its kind. Exploiting cross-county variation in the estimated number of AB60 licenses, we find no measurable effects on auto insurance uptake or premium costs. A power analysis and multiple robustness checks corroborate this conclusion. We interpret our results to suggest that most newly licensed unauthorized immigrants were already driving before the reform to access work and basic services. Furthermore, unauthorized drivers may already have had access to an insured vehicle. Our research revisits prominent claims about the effects of driver license reforms and provides much-needed empirical evidence to a controversial policy debate.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
15.80%
发文量
43
期刊介绍: The Journal of Risk and Insurance (JRI) is the premier outlet for theoretical and empirical research on the topics of insurance economics and risk management. Research in the JRI informs practice, policy-making, and regulation in insurance markets as well as corporate and household risk management. JRI is the flagship journal for the American Risk and Insurance Association, and is currently indexed by the American Economic Association’s Economic Literature Index, RePEc, the Social Sciences Citation Index, and others. Issues of the Journal of Risk and Insurance, from volume one to volume 82 (2015), are available online through JSTOR . Recent issues of JRI are available through Wiley Online Library. In addition to the research areas of traditional strength for the JRI, the editorial team highlights below specific areas for special focus in the near term, due to their current relevance for the field.
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