返工不确定性条件下软件开发项目的设计与管理——基于系统动力学的研究

IF 2.8 Q2 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Journal of Decision Systems Pub Date : 2022-01-07 DOI:10.1080/12460125.2021.2023257
M. T. Khatun, K. Hiekata, Yutaka Takahashi, Isaac Okada
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引用次数: 2

摘要

尽管有适当的计划和调度,项目执行是具有挑战性的,其中一个关键因素是项目实施过程中的不确定性。本研究提出了一个系统动力学(SD)模型作为基于模型的决策支持系统,该模型通过预测动态和复杂的项目行为来考虑返工产生的不确定性。SD模型是与返工周期一起开发的,返工周期主要有助于返工产生。工作产生和项目绩效的不确定性被可视化并集成到决策组件中。在设计可行的项目计划时,探讨了涉及雇用和加班使用的六种不同场景,以确保项目绩效。本研究的新颖之处在于在不确定性和项目条件下获得最佳规划方案的决策过程。应采取行动,预测和分析临时项目计划过程,并在不确定性下控制基于模型的决策。
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Design and management of software development projects under rework uncertainty: a study using system dynamics
ABSTRACT Despite proper planning and scheduling, project execution is challenging, and one critical factor is uncertainty duringthe project implementation process. This study presents a system dynamics (SD) model as a decision-support system for model-based decision-making that considers the uncertainty of rework generation by predicting dynamic and complex project behaviour. The SD model was developedalong with a rework cycle that principally contributes to rework generation. The uncertainty ofrework generation and project performance werevisualized and integrated into decision-making components.Six different scenarios involving hiring and overtime usage were explored to ensure project performance whendesigning a feasible project plan.The novelty of this study lies inthe decision-making process for obtaining the best planning alternatives under uncertainty and project conditions. Actions should be implemented thatpredict and analyse improvised project planningprocesses and control model-based decision-making under uncertainty.
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来源期刊
Journal of Decision Systems
Journal of Decision Systems OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE-
CiteScore
6.30
自引率
23.50%
发文量
55
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