失业与外国直接投资关系:来自加纳的经验证据

Abdul-Malik Abdulai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本文考察了外国直接投资对加纳失业的影响。设计/方法/方法:本文使用1990年至2020年的年度数据,并采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)估计技术。研究发现:失业率与外商直接投资、国内生产总值、出口和资本形成总额存在长期关系。外国直接投资和GDP与失业率呈长期负相关。相反,从长期来看,商品和服务的出口与失业呈正相关,不考虑性别。最后,我们还发现了GDP对FDI在降低加纳失业率方面的中介效应。研究局限/启示:从长远来看,商品和服务出口与失业呈正相关的发现并不一定意味着加纳应该停止出口商品和服务以解决该国的失业挑战。相反,我们应该采取一种态度,在出口之前为我们的原材料增值。为了减少该国的失业率,政府应该对外国投资者采取激励性税收政策,以吸引更多的外国直接投资流入经济。原创性/价值:本论文不仅扩展到最近的数据,而且据我们所知,它也是第一个研究加纳外国直接投资与失业率之间关系的研究,并承担了这种关系的性别动态。
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Unemployment and Foreign Direct Investment Nexus: Empirical Evidence from Ghana
Purpose: The paper examines the effect of foreign direct investment on unemployment in Ghana. Design/methodology/approach: The paper uses annual data spanning from 1990 to 2020 and employed the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) estimation technique. Findings: The paper found that unemployment has a long-run relationship with foreign direct investment, gross domestic product, export and gross capital formation. Foreign direct investment and GDP has a negative long-run relationship with unemployment. On the contrary, export of goods and services positively relate to unemployment in the long-run devoid of gender. Lastly, we also found a mediating effect of GDP on FDI in reducing unemployment rate in Ghana. Research limitations/implications: The finding that export of goods and services relate positively with unemployment in the long run does not necessarily imply that Ghana should stop exporting goods and services in order to solve unemployment challenges in the country. Rather we should adopt the attitude of adding value to our raw products before exporting. And to reduce unemployment in the country, government should adopt incentivized tax policies to foreign investors to attract more FDI inflows into the economy. Originality/value: Not only does the present paper extend to more recent data, but it is also the first of its kind to the best of our knowledge in studying the nexus between FDI and unemployment rate in Ghana and also bringing to bear the gender dynamics of such relationship.
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审稿时长
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