使用逻辑回归的贷款分类

IF 3.4 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Informatics Pub Date : 2023-03-29 DOI:10.37661/1816-0301-2023-20-1-55-74
U. I. Behunkou, M. Kovalyov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目标。所研究的贷款分类问题对金融机构尤其重要,因为金融机构必须在实体之间有效地分配货币资产,作为提供金融服务的一部分。因此,对于金融机构来说,能够尽可能准确地识别可靠的借款人比以往任何时候都更加重要。与此同时,机器学习是做出此类决策的工具之一。本工作的目的是分析有效使用逻辑回归解决贷款分类任务的可能性。基于使用贷款历史数据的逻辑回归算法,计算了以下指标:成本函数、准确性、精度、召回率。采用多项式回归和主成分分析来确定所研究的逻辑回归算法的最优输入数据集。估计数据归一化对最终结果的影响,确定解决该问题的最优正则化参数,评估目标值平衡的影响,计算逻辑回归算法的最优边界值,考虑了通过填补缺失值和使用不同程度的多项式来增加输入指标的影响,并对现有的输入指标集进行了冗余分析。研究结果证实了逻辑回归算法在解决贷款分类问题中的应用是合适的。使用该算法可以快速得到一个有效的贷款分类工具。
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Loan classification using logistic regression
Objectives. The studied problem of loan classification is particularly important for financial institutions, which must efficiently allocate monetary assets between entities as part of the provision of financial services. Therefore, it is more important than ever for financial institutions to be able to identify reliable borrowers as accurately as possible. At the same time, machine learning is one of the tools for making such decisions. The aim of this work is to analyze the possibility of efficient use of logistic regression for solving the task of loan  classification.Methods. Based on the logistic regression algorithm using historical data on loans issued, the following  metrics are calculated: cost function, Accuracy, Precision, Recall и  score. Polynomial regression and  principal component analysis are used to determine the optimal set of input data for the being studied logistic regression algorithm.Results. The impact of data normalization on the final result is estimated, the optimal regularization parameter for solving this problem is determined, the impact of the balance of target values is assessed, the optimal  boundary value for the logistic regression algorithm is calculated, the influence of increasing input indicators by means of filling in missing values and using polynomials of different degrees is considered and the existing set of input indicators is analyzed for redundancy.Conclusion. The research results confirm that the application of the logistic regression algorithm for solving loan classification problems is appropriate. The use of this algorithm allows to get quickly a working loan  classification tool. 
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来源期刊
Informatics
Informatics Social Sciences-Communication
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
6.50%
发文量
88
审稿时长
6 weeks
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