人类世的前瞻性技术评估:向可持续文化的转变

Martin Möller, Rainer Grießhammer
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在人类世,人类已经成为一股准地质力量。新技术的快速发展和深度干预都会导致地球自然系统发生深远和不可逆转的人为变化。然而,技术的早期评估和开发评估还不是常识。在这种背景下,这篇综述文章旨在汇编有关技术早期可持续性评估的当前知识状态,并根据人类世的关键挑战对这一现状进行分类。为此,本文首先概述了可持续性一词的主要现有定义和框架。还介绍了发展可持续性评估和技术评估方法的关键里程碑、概念和工具。基于这一概述,以能源部门为例,讨论反映正在进行的转型过程如何有助于TA框架的进一步发展,以确保建立一个灵活、面向目标和经得起未来考验的评估系统。
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Prospective technology assessment in the Anthropocene: A transition toward a culture of sustainability
In the Anthropocene, humankind has become a quasi-geological force. Both the rapid development as well as the depth of intervention of new technologies result in far-reaching and irreversible anthropogenic changes in the Earth’s natural system. However, early and development-accompanying evaluation of technologies are not yet common sense. Against this background, this review article aims to compile the current state of knowledge with regard to the early sustainability assessment of technologies and to classify this status quo with respect to the key challenges of the Anthropocene. To that end, the paper initially outlines major existing definitions and framings of the term of sustainability. Key milestones, concepts and instruments with regard to the development of sustainability assessment and technology assessment (TA) methodologies are also presented. Based on this overview, the energy sector is used as an example to discuss how mirroring ongoing transformation processes can contribute to the further development of the TA framework in order to ensure an agile, goal-oriented, and future-proof assessment system.
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