《持续的低回报将如何影响储蓄和退休》由奥利维亚·s·米切尔、罗伯特·克拉克和雷蒙德·毛雷尔主编

IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Pension Economics & Finance Pub Date : 2021-04-05 DOI:10.1017/S1474747221000159
C. Kumru
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引用次数: 0

摘要

许多国家面临的最大挑战之一是人口老龄化。低生育率伴随着寿命的延长,使人口老龄化成为人类应该解决的最重要问题之一。这本书解决了人口老龄化的一个重要问题,即为退休人员提供足够的退休收入。然而,这不是一件小事。由于生育率下降和寿命延长,现收现付式的公共退休计划不足以单独为个人退休提供资金。因此,需要补充退休计划。从理论上讲,理性的个人应该有足够的私人储蓄来随着时间的推移平稳消费。然而,这在实践中并不奏效,因此,除了公共养老金外,强制储蓄机制还确保个人有足够的退休收入。这些方案可以是固定收益(DB)或固定贡献(DC)。在DB计划中,养老基金负责提供某些有保障的福利,即退休人员不承担风险。在DC计划中,投资回报风险落在了退休人员身上。随着时间的推移,在美国和许多其他地方,养老基金从DB型向DC型的转移速度越来越快。在一个相当高的资本市场回报环境中,强制储蓄机制为长期风险提供了相当好的保险,无论它们是DC类型的DB。然而,在很长一段时间内,全球经济面临着资本市场回报率低的问题。因此,DB养老基金很难履行其义务,而DC养老计划持有人在退休时面临的收入支持不足。在这种情况下,专业基金经理、现在的工薪阶层和现在的退休人员都需要想出应对这种相对较新现象的策略。我们还需要对低回报、高寿命时代的退休融资进行更多研究。可能的补救措施包括增加储蓄、减少退休消费、增加工作、延迟退休和更好地投资。然而,所有这些建议都不是微不足道的。尽管有很多关于低回报时代退休融资的讨论,但直到我读到奥利维亚·S·米切尔、罗伯特·克拉克和雷蒙德·毛雷尔编辑的《持续的低回报将如何塑造储蓄和退休》,我才知道有一部全面的作品。当持续的低回报率成为现实时,这本书对储蓄和退休方面的问题和可能的解决方案进行了极好的调查。本书共有12章,除第一章外,分为三部分。第一章对本书进行了简要的概述。第一部分从第二章到第六章共五章。第二章解释了为什么利率低。主要集中在美国联邦储备系统独立性的政治经济学解释上。尽管本章对我们面临的低利率进行了解释,但我更希望看到另一章从更理论的角度来解释这个问题。低利率是一种全球性的现象,对此有大量的研究。我觉得如果把低利率的起源再扩展一点,这本书会更有信息性。第一部分的其余四章分析了低利率的后果。第三章的结论是,对大多数人来说,储蓄率需要提高大约三分之二
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“How Persistent Low Returns Will Shape Saving and Retirement” edited by Olivia S. Mitchell, Robert Clark, and Raimond Maurer
One of the biggest challenges many countries face is the ageing population. Low fertility rates accompanied by an increase in longevity make the ageing population one of the most important issues the humanity should deal with it. This book tackles one of the important matters regarding the ageing population which is providing enough retirement income for retirees. Yet, this is not a trivial matter. As a result of a decrease in fertility rate and an increase in longevity, Pay As You Go type publicly run retirement schemes are not enough to fund individuals’ retirement alone. As a result, the supplementary retirement schemes are needed. In theory, rational individuals should have enough private savings to smooth out consumptions over time. Yet, this does not work in practice and hence, in addition to the public pension, forced savings mechanisms make sure that individuals have enough retirement income. These schemes can be either defined benefit (DB) or defined contribution (DC). In the DB schemes, pension funds are responsible to provide certain guaranteed benefits, i.e., the retirees do not bear risks. In the DC schemes, the investment return risk falls on the retirees. Over time, in the US, and many other places, pension funds move from DB types to DC types at increasing rates. In a reasonably high capital market return environment, forced saving mechanisms provide reasonably well insurance against the longevity risk whether they are DB of DC types. Yet, for a long period of time, the global economy faces low capital market returns. As a result, DB pension funds face a hard time to meet their obligations while DC pension plan holders face inadequate income support in their retirements. Under these circumstances, professional fund managers, current working generation, and current retirees need to come up with strategies to cope with this relatively new phenomenon. We also need more research on financing retirement in the era of low return and high longevity. Possible remedies are increasing savings, consuming less in retirement, working more, retiring late, and investing better. Yet, all these suggestions are not trivial to handle. Although there are a lot of discussions on financing retirement in the low return era, I was not aware of a comprehensive work until I read ‘How Persistent Low Returns Will Shape Saving and Retirement edited by Olivia S. Mitchell, Robert Clark, and Raimond Maurer’. This book provides an excellent survey of the problems and possible solutions regarding saving and retirement when the persistent low returns are the reality. The book contains 12 independent chapters categorised under three parts except the first chapter. The first chapter provided a brief overview of the book. The first part consists of five chapters from chapters two to six. The second chapter provides an explanation of why the interest rates are low. It is mainly focused on the political economy explanation of the independence of the US Federal Reserve System. Although the chapter provides an explanation regarding the low interest rates we face, I would prefer to see another chapter explains the issue from the more theoretical point. The low interest rate is a global phenomenon and there is vast research on it. I felt that the current book would be more informative if it extended the origins of the low returns a little bit more. The remaining four chapters in the first part analyse the consequences of the low interest rates. The third chapter concludes that saving rates would need to rise by roughly two-thirds for most
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CiteScore
4.20
自引率
8.30%
发文量
29
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Social security and retirement around the world: lessons from a long-term collaboration What drives the growth of an open pension fund? A building block approach to retirement income design The actuarial sources of the rise in unfunded liabilities in America's defined benefit plans in the 21st century Introduction to the 20th Anniversary Special Issue of the Journal of Pension Economics and Finance
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