外交政策的国内动态:印度退出区域全面伙伴关系协定(RCEP)谈判

Noudy Naufal
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引用次数: 0

摘要

印度决定退出《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP),是国际贸易发展中令人震惊的事件之一。这一决定不仅阻碍了印度与整个亚太地区之间的许多区域主义议程,而且被认为与印度通过参加几个自由贸易协定将其外交政策导向其东部邻国,特别是东亚和东南亚的企图完全相反。本文将试图从国内因素来解释印度退出RCEP谈判的原因。报告认为,国内压力是印度退出RCEP谈判的主要因素。在本研究中,作者将使用Thomas Risse-Kappen开发的概念框架,根据一个国家的政治制度和社会群体对国内行为者对外交政策的影响进行分类,以更多地了解国内行为者对印度外交政策的影响。这项研究还表明,除了国内利益相关者认为该国加入RCEP不利于他们的经济利益之外,巨大的压力尤其来自印度教民族主义团体,特别是来自国民服务组织(RSS),作为纳伦德拉·莫迪(Narendra Modi)总理领导下的现任政府政党的核心群众支持。一直是国内要求了解印度退出RCEP谈判的根源的主要压力之一。
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Domestic Dynamics on Foreign Policy: India's Withdrawal from Regional Comprehensive Partnership Agreement (RCEP) Negotiations
India’s decision to withdraw from Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) has been one of the shocking event in the development of international trade. Not only obstructing many regionalist agenda between India and the whole of Asia-Pacific region, this decision is considered to be in the exact opposite of India’s attempts to direct its foreign policy towards its eastern neighbours, especially on the East and Southeast Asia, through India’s participations in several free trade agreements. This thesis will attempt to explain India’s withdrawal from RCEP negotiation by looking at domestic factors. It argues that domestic pressures are the main factors for India to withdraw from RCEP’s negotiation rounds. In this research, the author will use conceptual framework developed by Thomas Risse-Kappen to classify the influences of domestic actors on foreign policy of a country based on its political system and societal groups to understand more the influences of domestic actors to Indian foreign policy. This research also shows that apart from domestic stakeholders perceptions that  the country’s membership in the RCEP doesn’t benefit their economic interests, huge pressures came especially from Hindu nationalist groups, especially from Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), as the core mass support of the current government’s party under the premiership of Narendra Modi (Bharatiya Janata Party – BJP), has been one of the major domestic pressures to understand the roots on India’s withdrawal from RCEP’s negotiation rounds.
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