数据驱动油藏流体性质预测

Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Petroleum Research Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.ptlrs.2022.10.001
Kazem Monfaredi, Sobhan Hatami, Amirsalar manouchehri, Behnam Sedaee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

流体性质数据的准确性在储层计算过程中起着绝对关键的作用。通过各种实验方法可以获得可靠的数据,但这些方法非常昂贵和耗时。替代方法是数值模型。这些方法使用测量的实验数据来开发用于预测所需参数的代表性模型。在本研究中,为了预测饱和压力、油层体积因子和溶液气油比,开发了几种人工智能(AI)模型。582个报告的数据集被用作数据库,涵盖了广泛的流体特性。通过相关系数(R2)、平均绝对相对偏差(AARD)和均方根误差(RMSE)等统计参数检验了模型的准确性和可靠性。结果表明预测数据与目标值之间具有良好的一致性。该模型还与以前的工作进行了比较,并建立了经验相关性,表明它比所有比较模型和相关性更可靠。最后,计算了每个输入参数的相关系数,以说明不同参数对预测值的影响。相关性因子表明,在这些模型中,溶液气油比对饱和压力和油层体积因子的影响最大。饱和压力对溶液气油比的影响最大。
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Data driven prediction of oil reservoir fluid properties

Accuracy of the fluid property data plays an absolutely pivotal role in the reservoir computational processes. Reliable data can be obtained through various experimental methods, but these methods are very expensive and time consuming. Alternative methods are numerical models. These methods used measured experimental data to develop a representative model for predicting desired parameters. In this study, to predict saturation pressure, oil formation volume factor, and solution gas oil ratio, several Artificial Intelligent (AI) models were developed. 582 reported data sets were used as data bank that covers a wide range of fluid properties. Accuracy and reliability of the model was examined by some statistical parameters such as correlation coefficient (R2), average absolute relative deviation (AARD), and root mean square error (RMSE). The results illustrated good accordance between predicted data and target values. The model was also compared with previous works and developed empirical correlations which indicated that it is more reliable than all compared models and correlations. At the end, relevancy factor was calculated for each input parameters to illustrate the impact of different parameters on the predicted values. Relevancy factor showed that in these models, solution gas oil ratio has greatest impact on both saturation pressure and oil formation volume factor. In the other hand, saturation pressure has greatest effect on solution gas oil ratio.

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来源期刊
Petroleum Research
Petroleum Research Earth and Planetary Sciences-Geology
CiteScore
7.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
90
审稿时长
35 weeks
期刊最新文献
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