使用机器学习技术对企业对企业(B2B)电信服务销售进行预测分析

Oryza Wisesa, A. Andriansyah, Osamah Ibrahim Khalaf
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引用次数: 38

摘要

销售预测分析需要具有准确预测模型和高可靠性的智能数据挖掘技术。在大多数情况下,业务高度依赖于信息以及销售趋势的需求预测。本研究使用B2B销售数据进行分析。B2B数据可以提供有关电信公司应该如何管理其销售团队、产品和预算流程的信息。准确的估值使电信企业能够在市场竞争中生存下来,并随着市场的增长而增长。使用机器学习技术研究和分析了可理解的预测模型,以改进对未来销售的预测。传统的销售预测系统难以应对大数据和销售预测的准确性。在本研究中,机器学习技术也被用于分析B2B销售的可靠性。此外,在本研究的最后,介绍了用于预测销售的其他措施和技术。推荐绩效评价最佳的预测模型用于预测B2B销售趋势。将研究结果按可靠性和准确性排序为最佳预测和预测方法,包括估计、评价和转化。发现性能最好的模型是梯度增强算法。结果形成数据从头到尾紧密相连的图形,目标MSE和MAPE结果是其他方法中效果最好的,MSE =24.743.000.000,00, MAPE =0,18。该模型在预测和预测未来B2B销售方面表现出最大的准确性。
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Prediction Analysis for Business To Business (B2B) Sales of Telecommunication Services using Machine Learning Techniques
Sales prediction analysis requires intelligent data mining techniques with accurate prediction models and high reliability. In most cases, business highly relies on information as well as demand forecast of the sales trends. This research uses B2B sales data for analysis. The B2B data could provide information on how telecommunication company should manage its sales team, products, and budgeting flows. The accurate estimates enable Telecommunication company to survive the market war and increase with market growth. Comprehensible predictive models were studied and analyzed using a technique of machine learning to improve the prediction of the future sale. It is hard to cope with big data and sale prediction accuracy if the system of traditional forecast is used. In this study, machine learning technique was also used to analyze the reliability of B2B sales. In addition, at the end of this research, other measures and techniques used to predict sales were introduced. The predictive model with best performance evaluation is recommended to forecast the trending B2B sales. The study results are put into an order of reliability and accuracy of the best method to predict and forecast including estimation, evaluation, and transformation. The best performance model found was Gradient Boost Algorithm. The result form graph the data close together from beginning till end of data target MSE and MAPE result are the best result than other method, MSE =24.743.000.000,00 and MAPE =0,18. This model performed maximum accuracy in predicting and forecasting of the future B2B sales.
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来源期刊
Majlesi Journal of Electrical Engineering
Majlesi Journal of Electrical Engineering Engineering-Electrical and Electronic Engineering
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
期刊介绍: The scope of Majlesi Journal of Electrcial Engineering (MJEE) is ranging from mathematical foundation to practical engineering design in all areas of electrical engineering. The editorial board is international and original unpublished papers are welcome from throughout the world. The journal is devoted primarily to research papers, but very high quality survey and tutorial papers are also published. There is no publication charge for the authors.
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