党派陶醉还是政策投票?

IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Quarterly Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2020-04-08 DOI:10.1561/100.00018027a
Anthony Fowler
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引用次数: 37

摘要

许多政治学家认为,党派之争是一种武断的心理依恋,会对选民的决定产生类似毒品的影响。这意味着选民不太关心政策或政府表现,相反,选举只是醉酒的党派人士的点名。我回顾并重新评估了这一观点的证据,得出的结论是没有令人信服的证据支持这一观点。对于许多实证测试来说,党派陶醉和政策投票在观察上是等效的。很少有机会部分区分这些可能性,比如南部调整,这表明政策投票更加普遍。当我利用对假设候选人的调查实验进行新的测试时,证据的分量有利于政策投票。
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Partisan Intoxication or Policy Voting?
Many political scientists believe that partisanship is an arbitrary psychological attachment that exerts a drug-like effect on voters' decisions. An implication is that voters don't care much about policy or government performance, and instead, elections are just a roll call of intoxicated partisans. I review and reassess the evidence for this view, concluding that there is no compelling evidence to support it. For many empirical tests, partisan intoxication and policy voting are observationally equivalent. Rare opportunities to partially distinguish between these possibilities like the southern realignment suggest that policy voting is more prevalent. When I conduct new tests utilizing survey experiments about hypothetical candidates, the weight of the evidence favors policy voting.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
5.90%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: In the last half-century, social scientists have engaged in a methodologically focused and substantively far-reaching mission to make the study of politics scientific. The mutually reinforcing components in this pursuit are the development of positive theories and the testing of their empirical implications. Although this paradigm has been associated with many advances in the understanding of politics, no leading journal of political science is dedicated primarily to the publication of positive political science.
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