姑息性预后指数在预测晚期癌症患者生存率中的作用

IF 0.1 Q4 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Eurasian Journal of Pulmonology Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI:10.4103/ejop.ejop_31_21
F. Arkin, Gülfidan Aras
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引用次数: 1

摘要

背景与目的:在晚期癌症患者中,预期寿命对于临床医生和患者的临终决策至关重要。姑息预后指数(PPI)是姑息治疗中常用的预测生存率的预后工具。本研究的目的是评估PPI预测晚期癌症患者生存率的准确性。材料和方法:将在姑息治疗诊所住院的晚期癌症患者纳入这项回顾性研究。PPI评分由医生在入院当天计算。根据PPI评分将患者分为三组:A组:PPI≤4,B组:4.6。所有患者均进行了长达3个月的随访。使用Kaplan–Meier分析进行生存分析。结果:纳入研究的203例晚期癌症患者中有177例(87.2%)为男性。总平均年龄为64.59±10.87岁;97%的患者在随访期间死亡。他们的总中位生存期为17天。A组的中位生存期(51天,95%置信区间[CI]:39.7-62.2)明显长于B组(16天,95%CI:10.4-21.5)和C组(6天,95%CI:4-7.9)。PPI≤4周和6周生存期的敏感性和特异性分别为82.5%和75.7%。PPI>6和3周生存期的敏感性和特异性分别为57.7%和91.3%。结论:PPI是预测晚期癌症姑息治疗患者生存时间的有价值和有用的预后工具。
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The usefulness of Palliative Prognostic Index in predicting the survival of patients with advanced lung cancer
BACKGROUND AND AIM: In advanced cancer patients, life expectancy is essential in making end-of-life decisions for clinicians and patients. Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI) is a prognostic tool commonly used in palliative care for prediction survival. The aim of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of PPI for predicting survival in patients with advanced lung cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with advanced lung cancer hospitalized in a palliative clinic were included in this retrospective study. The PPI score was calculated by the doctor on admission day. The patients were divided into three groups according to their PPI score: group A: PPI ≤4, Group B: 4 6. All patients were followed up for up to 3 months. The survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan–Meier analysis. RESULTS: There were 177 (87.2%) men for a total of 203 patients with advanced lung cancer included in the study. The overall mean age was 64.59 ± 10.87 years; 97% of the patients died during the follow-up period. Their overall median survival was 17 days. The median survival for Group A (51 days, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 39.7–62.2) was significantly longer than Group B (16 days, 95% CI: 10.4–21.5) and Group C (6 days, 95% CI: 4–7.9). For a PPI ≤4 and 6-week survival, the sensitivity and specificity were 82.5% and 75.7%, respectively. For a PPI >6 and 3-week survival, the sensitivity and specificity were 57.7% and 91.3%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The PPI is a valuable and useful prognostic tool in predicting survival time for advanced lung cancer patients in palliative care.
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来源期刊
Eurasian Journal of Pulmonology
Eurasian Journal of Pulmonology RESPIRATORY SYSTEM-
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发文量
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审稿时长
16 weeks
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