气候变化适应及其对农业收入和下行风险敞口的影响

IF 12.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Resources Environment and Sustainability Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI:10.1016/j.resenv.2022.100082
Chandra Dhakal , Savin Khadka , Cheolwoo Park , Cesar L. Escalante
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引用次数: 5

摘要

此前的多份报告已经证实,气候变化对发展中国家小农的影响不成比例。本研究调查了气候变化适应对作物收入和收入风险暴露的影响,气候变化适应的定义是农民决定采用改进的做法来缓解或减少气候变化的影响。我们在一个内生切换回归框架中使用控制函数方法来解释选择偏差。利用尼泊尔的家庭调查数据,我们发现适应气候变化对作物收入和降低收入风险有积极影响。具体而言,气候变化适应导致农业收入增加21.6%,下行风险敞口减少6.4%,这在几个规格上都是稳健的。反事实分析表明,适应者和非适应者之间的结果存在相当大的异质性。特别是,适应环境的农户相对于不适应环境的同辈农户而言,在收入方面实现了可观的显著增长,风险水平也有所下降。我们的研究结果表明,适应气候变化可以成为一种有效的管理实践,以减轻与气候变化相关的风险,并提高抵御能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Climate change adaptation and its impacts on farm income and downside risk exposure

Multiple previous reports have established that climate change disproportionately impacts smallholder farmers in developing countries. This study investigates the impact of climate change adaptation, defined by farmers’ decisions to adopt the improved practices to mitigate or reduce the effects of climate change, on crop revenue and revenue risk exposure. We employ the control function approach in an endogenous switching regression framework to account for selection bias. Using the household survey data from Nepal, we find that climate change adaptation positively affects crop revenue and revenue risk reduction. Specifically, climate change adaptation leads to a 21.6% increase in farm revenue and a 6.4% reduction in downside risk exposure, which are robust to several specifications. Counterfactual analysis shows the considerable heterogeneities in the outcomes among adapters and non-adapters. In particular, adapting farm households realize substantial and distinguishable gains in revenues and declines in risk levels relative to their non-adapting peer households. Our findings imply that adapting to climate change can be an effective management practice to mitigate the risks associated with climate change and increase resilience.

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来源期刊
Resources Environment and Sustainability
Resources Environment and Sustainability Environmental Science-Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
15.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
41
审稿时长
33 days
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