反对有什么好处?

IF 0.6 4区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Journal of Theoretical Politics Pub Date : 2019-03-11 DOI:10.1177/0951629819833192
B. Demirkaya
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引用次数: 10

摘要

代议制民主国家的政府可能有动机推行与选民偏好不一致的政策。当选民缺乏有关政府政策偏见和政策替代方案后果的信息时,他们将很难追究政府的责任。我提出了一个正式的模型,探讨反对党是否可以通过提供有关政策替代方案的信息来帮助解决这个问题。该模型承认,反对党可能会因为自己的政策偏见或选举担忧而误导选民。尽管存在这一挑战,但该模型表明,反对党的存在可能会导致有偏见的政府调整其政策。为了使这种纪律平衡发挥作用,反对派和政府的声誉应该相互接近,或者选民应该相信一种政策选择比另一种选择更有可能对她有利。此外,政府应该充分关注赢得选举,反对派应该充分关注政策。然而,在同样的条件下,关于反对派的误导性信息可能会导致一个公正的政府实施有损选民福利的政策。
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What is opposition good for?
Governments in representative democracies may have incentives to pursue policies that do not align with voters’ preferences. When voters lack information about the policy bias of the government and the consequences of policy alternatives, they will have difficulty holding the government accountable. I propose a formal model that explores whether an opposition party can help solve this problem by providing information about policy alternatives. The model acknowledges that opposition parties may have incentives to mislead voters because of their own policy biases or election concerns. Despite this challenge, the model shows that the presence of an opposition party may induce a biased government to adjust its policies. For this disciplining equilibrium to work, the reputations of the opposition and the government should be close to each other, or the voter should believe that one policy alternative is much more likely to be good for her than another alternative. In addition, the government should be sufficiently concerned about winning the elections, and the opposition should be sufficiently concerned about policy. Under the same conditions, however, misleading information on the opposition may cause an unbiased government to implement policies that are detrimental to voter welfare.
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来源期刊
Journal of Theoretical Politics
Journal of Theoretical Politics POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
10.00%
发文量
19
期刊介绍: The Journal of Theoretical Politics is an international journal one of whose principal aims is to foster the development of theory in the study of political processes. It provides a forum for the publication of original papers seeking to make genuinely theoretical contributions to the study of politics. The journal includes rigorous analytical articles on a range of theoretical topics. In particular, it focuses on new theoretical work which is broadly accessible to social scientists and contributes to our understanding of political processes. It also includes original syntheses of recent theoretical developments in diverse fields.
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