为什么要委托给IMF?国会偏好和责任规避

IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS International Relations of the Asia-Pacific Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI:10.1093/irap/lcad006
Masafumi Fujita
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为什么美国近年来将其大部分危机贷款委托给国际货币基金组织(IMF),尽管它在20世纪90年代中期之前向具有战略重要性的国家提供了大规模的双边救助?以往关于救助策略选择的研究未能解释这一重要变化,此类研究的一个主要问题是,它关注的是行政部门的偏好,而忽视了立法部门的偏好。立法机构可以对救助政策的选择产生重大影响,现有研究也表明,美国国会主导了最近的变化。这篇文章假设,在需要救助和因不平等扩大而引起的选民反对之间陷入两难境地,国会将救助委托给国际货币基金组织以避免指责。为了验证这一假设,该研究对IMF增资投票进行了统计分析,并对墨西哥和亚洲危机进行了案例分析。
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Why delegate to the IMF? Congressional preference and blame avoidance
Why has the United States delegated most of its crisis lending to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in recent years, although it provided large-scale bilateral bailouts to strategically important countries until the mid-1990s? Previous research on the choice of bailout strategy has failed to explain this important change, and a major problem with such research is that it has focused on executive branch preferences, overlooking those of the legislative branch. The legislature can significantly influence the choice of bailout policies, and existing research also implies that the US Congress has steered the recent change. This article hypothesizes that, caught in a dilemma between the need for bailouts and voters’ opposition caused by widening inequality, Congress delegated bailouts to the IMF for blame avoidance. To test this hypothesis, the study conducts a statistical analysis of the IMF’s capital increase votes and case analyses of the Mexican and Asian crises.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
7.10%
发文量
14
期刊介绍: International Relations of the Asia-Pacific is an exciting journal that addresses the major issues and developments taking place in the Asia-Pacific. It provides frontier knowledge of and fresh insights into the Asia-Pacific. The journal is a meeting place where various issues are debated from refreshingly diverging angles, backed up by rigorous scholarship. The journal is open to all methodological approaches and schools of thought, and to ideas that are expressed in plain and clear language.
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