谈判中要么接受,要么放弃:行为类型和内源性截止日期

IF 2.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Journal of Economic Psychology Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI:10.1016/j.joep.2022.102588
Selçuk Özyurt
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文研究了声誉议价模型,探讨了“退出威胁”对谈判者均衡行为的影响。虽然这纯粹是一种廉价的谈话信息,但退出威胁是有效的,它有两个主要效果:(1)它使最终结果变得高效和独特;(2)将议价能力转移给能够制造这种威胁的谈判者。为谈判设定最后期限会给对手施加压力,并激励她妥协。然而,一个太早的最后期限会让对手不太愿意妥协。因此,有效期限是唯一确定的。如果谈判人员不能立即达成协议,那么最后一刻达成协议的可能性很大。达成协议的频率在谈判开始和结束时达到峰值(最后期限效应),其他时间则持平。
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Take-it-or-leave-it offers in negotiations: Behavioral types and endogenous deadlines

This paper studies a reputational bargaining model, and investigates the effects of “exit threat” on negotiators’ equilibrium behaviors. Although it is a purely cheap talk message, exit threat is effective and has two main effects: (1) it renders the final outcome efficient and unique, and (2) shifts the bargaining power towards the negotiator who can make this threat. Setting a deadline for negotiations pressures the opponent and incentivizes her to compromise. However, a deadline that is too early makes the opponent less willing to compromise. Thus, effective deadline is uniquely determined. Last minute agreements occur with a positive probability if negotiators cannot reach an immediate agreement. Frequency of agreement has peaks at the beginning and at the end of negotiations (deadline effect), and is flat otherwise.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.20
自引率
31.40%
发文量
69
审稿时长
63 days
期刊介绍: The Journal aims to present research that will improve understanding of behavioral, in particular psychological, aspects of economic phenomena and processes. The Journal seeks to be a channel for the increased interest in using behavioral science methods for the study of economic behavior, and so to contribute to better solutions of societal problems, by stimulating new approaches and new theorizing about economic affairs. Economic psychology as a discipline studies the psychological mechanisms that underlie economic behavior. It deals with preferences, judgments, choices, economic interaction, and factors influencing these, as well as the consequences of judgements and decisions for economic processes and phenomena. This includes the impact of economic institutions upon human behavior and well-being. Studies in economic psychology may relate to different levels of aggregation, from the household and the individual consumer to the macro level of whole nations. Economic behavior in connection with inflation, unemployment, taxation, economic development, as well as consumer information and economic behavior in the market place are thus among the fields of interest. The journal also encourages submissions dealing with social interaction in economic contexts, like bargaining, negotiation, or group decision-making. The Journal of Economic Psychology contains: (a) novel reports of empirical (including: experimental) research on economic behavior; (b) replications studies; (c) assessments of the state of the art in economic psychology; (d) articles providing a theoretical perspective or a frame of reference for the study of economic behavior; (e) articles explaining the implications of theoretical developments for practical applications; (f) book reviews; (g) announcements of meetings, conferences and seminars.
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