全球尺度的水电潜力评价与可行性评价

IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Water Resources and Economics Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI:10.1016/j.wre.2022.100198
Wasu Manawko Tefera, K.S. Kasiviswanathan
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引用次数: 12

摘要

在全球和区域范围内评估水电潜力的可能地点和空间分布对规划未来的能源发展活动至关重要。本研究在技术、经济和环境约束下,评估了全球河流水电潜力,并评估了潜在的地点。该研究使用最新的(1965-2014)全球径流数据集(0.5°x 0.5°分辨率)进行设计流量计算,并使用覆盖90°N-60°S的90 m × 90 m分辨率数字高程模型(DEM)进行地形分析。采用30%、75%和95%流量可靠性计算的设计流量(Qd)进行评估和评价。此外,通过建立由机电设备成本与相应水头(H)和装机功率(P)推导出的经验关系,对确定的潜在地点的经济可行性进行了评估。全球范围内,95%流量可靠性时的理论水电潜力为25.48佩塔瓦时/年(PWh/yr), 30%流量可靠性时为184.17佩塔瓦时/年。7.06 PWh/yr ~ 49.05 PWh/yr的能量范围分别为95% ~ 30%流量可靠性计算的设计流量在技术上是可行的。在排除了环境不适宜和经济竞争力较弱的(平准化电力成本)>据估计,在流量可靠性为95%时,全球可开发的水电潜力为5.42 PWh/年,而在流量可靠性为30%时,可开发的水电潜力为39.56 PWh/年。
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A global-scale hydropower potential assessment and feasibility evaluations

Assessing the possible locations and evaluating the spatial distribution of hydropower potentials at the global and regional scale is crucial for planning future energy development activities. This study assesses run–of–river-based hydropower potential and evaluates potential sites under technical, economic, and environmental constraints globally. The study used the recent (1965–2014) global runoff dataset (0.5° x 0.5° resolution) for design discharge computation and 90 m × 90 m resolution Digital Elevation Model (DEM) covering 90°N-60°S for topographical analysis. The design discharges (Qd) calculated for 30%, 75%, and 95% flow dependability were used in the assessment and evaluations. Further, the economic feasibility of identified potential sites was evaluated by developing empirical relations derived from the observed cost of electromechanical equipment to corresponding head (H) and installed power (P). Globally a theoretical hydropower potential of 25.48 Peta watt-hours per year (PWh/yr) at 95% flow dependability to 184.17 PWh/yr at 30% flow dependability was estimated. The energy ranges from 7.06 PWh/yr to 49.05 PWh/yr are technically feasible for the design discharge calculated from 95% to 30% flow dependability, respectively. After excluding environmentally unsuitable and economically less competitive (Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCoE) > US$ 0.1/kWh) potential sites, it was estimated that an exploitable hydropower potential of 5.42 PWh/yr at 95% flow dependability to 39.56 PWh/yr at 30% flow dependability would be available globally.

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来源期刊
Water Resources and Economics
Water Resources and Economics Environmental Science-Water Science and Technology
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
17
审稿时长
51 days
期刊介绍: Water Resources and Economics is one of a series of specialist titles launched by the highly-regarded Water Research. For the purpose of sustainable water resources management, understanding the multiple connections and feedback mechanisms between water resources and the economy is crucial. Water Resources and Economics addresses the financial and economic dimensions associated with water resources use and governance, across different economic sectors like agriculture, energy, industry, shipping, recreation and urban and rural water supply, at local, regional and transboundary scale. Topics of interest include (but are not restricted to) the economics of: Aquatic ecosystem services- Blue economy- Climate change and flood risk management- Climate smart agriculture- Coastal management- Droughts and water scarcity- Environmental flows- Eutrophication- Food, water, energy nexus- Groundwater management- Hydropower generation- Hydrological risks and uncertainties- Marine resources- Nature-based solutions- Resource recovery- River restoration- Storm water harvesting- Transboundary water allocation- Urban water management- Wastewater treatment- Watershed management- Water health risks- Water pollution- Water quality management- Water security- Water stress- Water technology innovation.
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