金融发展与国际贸易的关系——以展望1404所选国家为例

M. Abbasian, A. Shahraki, M. H. Tabar
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摘要

金融发展对经济增长的影响是一个主要的经济问题,引起了很多争论和争议。一些经济学家认为,通过提高储蓄和投资水平来发展金融,可以为经济增长提供良好的基础。另一些则强调金融发展通过其对资源配置和资本效率的影响向经济增长转移。在本研究中,考虑到金融部门的重要性及其在国际贸易等经济功能中的作用,并考虑到近年来关于金融发展与国际贸易关系的文献越来越多,并引起了研究者的关注,本文采用GMM动态面板方法对中东地区16个国家的金融发展与国际贸易之间的关系进行了研究。1980 - 2016年的拟合结果表明,金融发展对国际贸易产生了正向影响。银行信贷与私营部门占GDP的比例、流动性占GDP的比例、货币供应量占GDP的比例、国内投资占GDP的比例与国际贸易呈显著正相关关系。JEL分类:g3, g4, c5,
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The Relationship Between Financial Development and International Trade in Countries Selected for Outlook 1404
The impact of financial development on economic growth is one of the major economic subjects that has generated much debate and controversy. Some economists believe that financial development through increased levels of savings and investment can provide a good basis for economic growth. Some other emphasize the transfer of financial develop ment to economic growth through its effects on resource allocation and capital efficien - cy. In this study, considering the significance of financial sector and its role in economic functions such as international trade and considering the fact that the literature on the re - lationship between financial development and international trade has expanded in recent years and has attracted the attention of researchers, the relationship between financial de - velopment and international trade has been investigated using the GMM Dynamic Panel Method for 16 countries in the Middle East. Fitting results from 1980 to 2016 indicate that financial development has had a positive impact on international trade. The ratio of bank credit to private sector to GDP, the ratio of liquidity to GDP, the ratio of money supply to GDP , and the ratio of domestic investment to GDP have a positive and significant rela tionship with international trade. JEL Classification: G3، G4، C5،
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