“德国就业奇迹”及其对收入不平等的影响:一项分解研究

Q3 Social Sciences International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2023-04-30 DOI:10.34196/ijm.00274
J. Mühlhan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在新冠肺炎危机之前的过去15年里,德国经历了就业人数的强劲持续增长,这就是“德国就业奇迹”。在此期间,以前急剧增加的收入不平等现象保持相对稳定。本文分析了2004年至2015年间就业变化对可支配收入不平等的影响,并回答了为什么尽管就业人数急剧增加,但不平等现象仍保持不变的问题。这是首次研究由于政策、工资和偏好的变化而改变劳动力供应模式的影响,以及劳动力市场约束对可支配收入不平等的作用。研究发现,由于人口结构的变化,不平等现象会进一步加剧,但就业和政策变化的增加几乎完全抵消了这一发展。结果表明,劳动力市场约束减少导致的就业增长在减缓不平等加剧方面比劳动力供应的变化更重要©2023,Mühlhan
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The ‘German Job Miracle’ and Its Impact on Income Inequality: A Decomposition Study
In the last 15 years before the COVID-19 crisis, Germany has experienced a strong and continuous increase in employment - the ‘German job miracle'. During this period, income inequality, which had previously increased sharply, remained relatively stable. This paper analyzes the impact of employment changes on disposable income inequality between 2004 and 2015 and gives an answer to the question why inequality remained constant despite the dramatic increase in employment. It is the first study to examine the effect of changing labor supply patterns due to changes in policies, wages and preferences, as well as the role that labor market constraints have played for inequality of disposable income. It finds that inequality would have increased further due to a transforming population structure, but increasing employment and policy changes almost completely offset this development. The results show that employment growth due to the reduction of labor market constraints has been more important in slowing down the increase in inequality than changes in labor supply © 2023, Mühlhan
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来源期刊
International Journal of Microsimulation
International Journal of Microsimulation Mathematics-Modeling and Simulation
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期刊介绍: The IJM covers research in all aspects of microsimulation modelling. It publishes high quality contributions making use of microsimulation models to address specific research questions in all scientific areas, as well as methodological and technical issues. IJM concern: the description, validation, benchmarking and replication of microsimulation models; results coming from microsimulation models, in particular policy evaluation and counterfactual analysis; technical or methodological aspect of microsimulation modelling; reviews of models and results, as well as of technical or methodological issues.
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