新古典主义和技术追赶是欧盟真正融合进程的渠道

Izabela Młynarzewska Borowiec
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引用次数: 3

摘要

目的:本文的目的是调查2000-2014年期间欧盟成员国之间的β-趋同过程,并确定该过程的渠道。本文试图说明被调查的国家集团是否因为资本积累、技术追赶或通过这两种机制而出现趋同。设计/方法论/方法:用于测试作为趋同驱动力的新古典主义和技术追赶的相对强度的框架结合了经济增长过程的新古典和内生表征。测试使用了截面数据和面板数据分析,包括正确的估计方法。研究结果:该论文为2000-2014年期间欧盟国家之间存在β-趋同过程提供了证据。所获得的结果证实,在所分析的时期,27个欧盟成员国都出现了两种趋同渠道(新古典和技术)。技术机制似乎比新古典机制更重要,尤其是在“新”欧盟国家之间。在“老”欧盟成员国中,没有发现技术渠道趋同的证据。关于所分析的集团是否存在生产力趋同的初步调查证实了欧盟27国和欧盟12国集团存在生产力趋同。EU-15组的结果不明确。研究局限性/影响:由于EU-15组获得的结果因所使用的研究方法而异,因此未来建议使用替代研究方法进行额外研究。此外,应探讨对这些问题的进一步研究,以便更准确地分析生产力趋同及其对所分析国家集团实际趋同进程的影响。原创性/价值:这篇论文是重要的一步,为研究欧盟真正趋同过程的决定因素提供了方向。根据研究结果,技术渠道而非资本积累是欧盟趋同进程的驱动力。这可能是未来在国家和欧洲层面推行趋同政策的一个重要信号。集中于资本动态的政策似乎不足以提高欧盟成员国之间未来趋同进程的速度。
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Neoclassical and technological catching-up as the channels of the real convergence process in the European Union
Purpose: The purpose of the paper is to investigate the β-convergence process between European Union member states in the period 2000-2014 and identify channels of that process. The paper attempts to illustrate if the investigated group of countries experienced convergence because of capital accumulation, technological catching-up or via both mechanisms. Design/methodology/approach: The framework used to test the relative strength of neoclassical and technological catching-up as convergence driving forces combines the neoclassical and endogenous representations of the economic growth process. The tests are conducted with the use of cross- sectional as well as panel data analysis, including the proper methods of estimation. Findings: The paper provides evidence for the presence of the β-convergence process among European Union countries in the period 2000-2014. The obtained results confirmed that in the analysed period, both channels of convergence (neoclassical and technological) occurred in the group of 27 EU member states. The technological mechanism seemed to be more important than the neoclassical one, especially between the “new” EU countries. In the group of “old” EU members no evidence of technological channel convergence was found. The preliminary survey on the existence of productivity convergence in the analysed groups confirmed its existence in the EU-27 and EU-12 group. Results for the EU-15 group were ambiguous. Research limitations/implications: As the results obtained for the EU-15 group were slightly different depending on the research method used, in the future, it would be advisable to carry out an additional study using an alternative research method. Moreover, further research on these issues should be explored towards much more accurate analysis of the productivity convergence and its impact on the real convergence process in the analysed groups of countries. Originality/value: The paper is an important step, giving direction to studies on determinants of the real convergence process in the EU. According to the obtained results, technological channel, not capital accumulation, is the driving force of the converge process in the European Union. It might be an important signal for the future convergence policy pursued at the national and European level. The policy concentrated on the dynamics of capital seems not to be effective enough to increase the speed of the convergence process between European Union member states in the future.
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