{"title":"弱者如何掌权?揭露弗拉基米尔·普京统治俄罗斯的根源","authors":"A. Matovski","doi":"10.1353/asp.2022.0043","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"C onventional wisdom holds that populations support autocrats only because they are coerced, bribed, or brainwashed into obedience. Driven by this perception, much of the public discourse and analysis of contemporary dictatorships ignores the role of societies in the rise and operation of these regimes. Similarly, many of the checks on authoritarian power are downplayed. Elections are assumed to be so reliably manipulated, protest and opposition so effectively quashed, and all other institutions and elites so thoroughly co-opted that they do not meaningfully shape politics in these countries. Unsurprisingly, most of the ink is spilled on the seemingly all-powerful puppet masters. Dictators’ personalities, obsessions, and purported worldviews are obsessively scrutinized as the ultimate resource on politics in these regimes. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
传统智慧认为,民众支持独裁者只是因为他们受到胁迫、贿赂或洗脑而服从。在这种看法的驱动下,许多关于当代独裁政权的公共话语和分析忽视了社会在这些政权崛起和运作中的作用。同样,许多对独裁权力的制约也被淡化了。选举被认为是如此可靠地操纵,抗议和反对被如此有效地镇压,所有其他机构和精英都被如此彻底地拉拢,以至于他们没有对这些国家的政治产生有意义的影响。不出所料,大部分墨水都洒在了看似无所不能的木偶大师身上。独裁者的个性、痴迷和所谓的世界观被痴迷地审视为这些政权中政治的终极资源。这些关于宫廷阴谋和领导能力的叙述产生了扣人心弦的叙述。但它们的普遍性造成了一种错觉,即独裁者的运作几乎没有受到限制。它们也让我们忽视了一个事实,即独裁者是他们统治的环境的产物,至少和他们创造的一样多。蒂莫西·弗莱(Timothy Frye)的《软弱的强人:普京统治下的俄罗斯的权力极限》(The Limits of Power in Putin’s Russia)是一篇非常及时和有先见之明的论文,在研究当今最重要的独裁政权之一:弗拉基米尔·普京(Vladimir Putin)领导下的俄罗斯时,阐述了这些病态。《弱强者》并非基于作者的新研究;相反,这本书是一个极其罕见的物种:它努力提炼政治学研究对俄罗斯和其他独裁政权的累积智慧,并使其在狭窄的学术圈子之外广泛传播。这本书的核心使命和成就是弥合普京主义和类似政权的学术研究之间的差距,以及政策界和公众对这些政权的理解。从这个意义上说,《弱强者》试图扭转一种令人沮丧的趋势。在
How Does the Weak Strongman Stay in Power? Exposing the Roots of Vladimir Putin's Rule in Russia
C onventional wisdom holds that populations support autocrats only because they are coerced, bribed, or brainwashed into obedience. Driven by this perception, much of the public discourse and analysis of contemporary dictatorships ignores the role of societies in the rise and operation of these regimes. Similarly, many of the checks on authoritarian power are downplayed. Elections are assumed to be so reliably manipulated, protest and opposition so effectively quashed, and all other institutions and elites so thoroughly co-opted that they do not meaningfully shape politics in these countries. Unsurprisingly, most of the ink is spilled on the seemingly all-powerful puppet masters. Dictators’ personalities, obsessions, and purported worldviews are obsessively scrutinized as the ultimate resource on politics in these regimes. These accounts of court intrigue and leadership produce gripping narratives. But their pervasiveness creates an illusion that autocrats operate with very few constraints. They also make us lose sight of the fact that dictators are products of the circumstances in which they rule at least as much as they create them. Timothy Frye’s Weak Strongman: The Limits of Power in Putin’s Russia is thus an exceptionally timely and prescient treatise, addressing these pathologies in the study of one of the most consequential present-day dictatorships: Russia under Vladimir Putin. Weak Strongman is not based on new research by the author; instead, the book is an exceedingly rare species: an effort to distill the cumulative wisdom of political science research on the Russian and other autocracies, and in a way that makes it widely accessible beyond narrow scholarly circles. The book’s core mission—and achievement—is to bridge the gap between the scholarship on Putinism and similar regimes and how these are understood in policy circles and by the public. In this sense, Weak Strongman tries to reverse a frustrating trend. Over the two decades of
期刊介绍:
Asia Policy is a peer-reviewed scholarly journal presenting policy-relevant academic research on the Asia-Pacific that draws clear and concise conclusions useful to today’s policymakers.