评估过程基础设施内在安全的知识驱动模型

IF 1.8 Q3 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Safety Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI:10.3390/safety9020037
Kamran Gholamizadeh, E. Zarei, Sohag Kabir, Abbas Mamudu, Yasaman Aala, I. Mohammadfam
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引用次数: 2

摘要

近年来,过程安全越来越受到关注,并从定量风险分析、后果建模和法规等不同角度进行了研究。然而,尽管固有安全设计评估是最具成本效益的安全策略,并且在工艺基础设施的可持续发展和安全运行中发挥着至关重要的作用,但很少有人尝试将重点放在固有安全设计上。因此,本研究提出了一种知识驱动的模型来评估不确定性下工艺基础设施的固有安全性。我们首先在考虑化学、反应、工艺、设备、人为因素和与工艺装置相关的组织问题的基础上,将影响因素的整体分类纳入固有安全设计。然后,我们使用主题专家、内容有效性比率(CVR)和内容有效性指数(CVI)来验证分类法和数据收集工具。然后,我们采用模糊推理系统和程度分析(EA)方法来获取不确定性下的知识。我们在一个生产氢气作为可再生能源的蒸汽甲烷重整装置上测试了所提出的模型。研究结果揭示了最有助于改进所研究工厂固有安全设计的因素和指标,并有效地支持制定适当安全对策的决策过程。
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A Knowledge-Driven Model to Assess Inherent Safety in Process Infrastructure
Process safety has drawn increasing attention in recent years and has been investigated from different perspectives, such as quantitative risk analysis, consequence modeling, and regulations. However, rare attempts have been made to focus on inherent safety design assessment, despite being the most cost-effective safety tactic and its vital role in sustainable development and safe operation of process infrastructure. Accordingly, the present research proposed a knowledge-driven model to assess inherent safety in process infrastructure under uncertainty. We first developed a holistic taxonomy of contributing factors into inherent safety design considering chemical, reaction, process, equipment, human factors, and organizational concerns associated with process plants. Then, we used subject matter experts, content validity ratio (CVR), and content validity index (CVI) to validate the taxonomy and data collection tools. We then employed a fuzzy inference system and the Extent Analysis (EA) method for knowledge acquisition under uncertainty. We tested the proposed model on a steam methane-reforming plant that produces hydrogen as renewable energy. The findings revealed the most contributing factors and indicators to improve the inherent safety design in the studied plant and effectively support the decision-making process to assign proper safety countermeasures.
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来源期刊
Safety
Safety Social Sciences-Safety Research
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
5.30%
发文量
71
审稿时长
7 weeks
期刊最新文献
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