中美战略协作:四个案例及其启示

IF 0.5 Q4 POLITICAL SCIENCE China Quarterly of International Strategic Studies Pub Date : 2022-01-31 DOI:10.1142/s2377740021500032
Chen Dongxiao, Su Liuqiang, Wang Guoxing, Ye Yu, Li Yanliang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

中美关系进入了一个新的“竞争”阶段。在特朗普总统的领导下,华盛顿对华政策的根本转变加剧了战略竞争,几乎消除了任何合作的可能性。随着华盛顿采取“遏制和镇压”政策,在可预见的未来,竞争将是双边关系的决定性特征,中美外交的重点应该是风险控制、危机稳定和绕过修昔底德陷阱。即使日益激烈的战略竞争似乎是不可避免的,但这两个超级大国之间有很多共同的利益和共同的担忧,需要进行更密切的协调。最紧迫的问题是,在特朗普政府关闭了几乎所有可用的协调渠道后,如何在拜登总统任期内重启合作引擎。当北京和华盛顿发现自己处于一种新的力量平衡和深刻变化的环境中时,他们可能已经调整了战略目标,并对彼此产生了新的看法,但自正常化以来,过去四十年双边战略合作的一些成功故事仍然具有重要的教训,而一个充满不确定性的世界使这些教训对当今的双边关系更加重要。
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China-U.S. Strategic Collaboration: Four Cases and Their Lessons
The China-U.S. relationship has entered a new phase of “competition.” A fundamental shift in Washington’s China policy under President Trump’s watch intensified strategic competition to the extent of nearly eliminating any possibility of cooperation. As Washington resorts to a policy of “containment and suppression,” competition will be the defining feature of the bilateral relationship for the foreseeable future and the focus of China-U.S. diplomacy should be on risk control, crisis stability, and getting around the Thucydides Trap. Even if growing strategic competition seems inescapable, there are plenty of shared interests and common concerns that warrant closer coordination between the two superpowers. The most pressing issue is how to restart the engine of cooperation under the Biden presidency after almost all the available avenues of coordination have been shut down by the Trump administration. Beijing and Washington may have calibrated their strategic objectives and developed new perceptions of each other as they find themselves in a new balance of power and profoundly changed circumstances, but some of the success stories of bilateral strategic collaboration over the past forty years since normalization still hold important lessons, and a world of growing uncertainty has rendered those lessons even more relevant for today’s bilateral relationship.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
22
审稿时长
12 weeks
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