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China's Policy toward Afghanistan and Its Impact on India 中国对阿富汗政策及其对印度的影响
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-12 DOI: 10.1142/s237774002350001x
Muhammad Usman Askari, Talha Khalid
The South Asia subcontinent is witnessing new security and political dynamics after the United States withdrew its troops in mid-2021. Even as the Taliban-led government is stepping up engagement with the outside world to earn wider diplomatic recognition and exhibit its governing credentials, Beijing and New Delhi are adjusting their regional policies in a bid to acquire more influence in a changing geopolitical landscape. Assuming nation states to be rational actors, this paper uses the stag hunt game to analyze the potential maximum payoffs for Beijing, Kabul, and New Delhi, respectively, if they could make the right strategic calculations about their short-term interests and long-term goals. Even though the subcontinent is not immune to the effect of great power rivalry that is unfolding on the world stage, regional stakeholders could still choose to cooperate on issues of common concern while limiting the fallout of competition and confrontation on other more contentious challenges.
在美国于2021年年中撤军后,南亚次大陆正在见证新的安全和政治动态。尽管塔利班领导的政府正在加强与外部世界的接触,以获得更广泛的外交承认,并展示其执政能力,但北京和新德里正在调整其地区政策,以期在不断变化的地缘政治格局中获得更大的影响力。假设民族国家是理性的行为者,本文使用猎鹿游戏来分析北京、喀布尔和新德里的潜在最大回报,如果他们能够对他们的短期利益和长期目标做出正确的战略计算。尽管南亚次大陆并非不受世界舞台上正在展开的大国竞争的影响,但该地区的利益攸关方仍然可以选择在共同关心的问题上进行合作,同时限制竞争和对抗对其他更具争议性挑战的影响。
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引用次数: 0
From Communist Allies to Pragmatics Partners: A Historical View of Albanian–Chinese Relations 从共产主义盟友到实用主义伙伴——阿中关系的历史考察
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-08 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740022500142
Alba Kreka, Selim Bezeraj
The Albanian–Chinese alliance existed between 1960 and 1978, an unusual relationship due to the roles and influences of both in and out of the Communist Bloc. Although ideological affinity is generally regarded as essential to the performance of an alliance, contingency and circumstance also matter. The main factors that influenced the character of the Sino-Albanian alliance will be revealed through the official correspondence of that time between the two countries, founded mainly in Central State Archive. Albania and China collaborated for 18 years and after their ideological conflicts Albania followed a self-isolation policy. After the fall of Communism in Albania, bilateral ties developed under the new circumstances for several years. It was China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) that helped create new conditions for cooperation. Through a descriptive analysis, this paper presumes/hypothesizes whether being old allies in the past can be considered as a prerequisite for cooperation in the present. In the beginning, Albania assessed the potential of BRI and proposed some important projects with China, but lately it has shown more ambivalence and reluctance toward the “[Formula: see text]” mechanism. We also examine the main factors on the Albanian side that may bolster or undercut future bilateral cooperation under the “16+1” framework.
阿中联盟存在于1960年至1978年间,由于共产主义集团内外的角色和影响,这种关系不同寻常。尽管意识形态亲和力通常被认为是联盟绩效的关键,但偶然性和环境也很重要。影响中阿同盟性质的主要因素将通过当时两国之间的官方信件来揭示,这些信件主要保存在中央国家档案馆。阿尔巴尼亚和中国合作了18年,在意识形态冲突后,阿尔巴尼亚采取了自我隔离政策。阿尔巴尼亚共产主义垮台后,两国关系在新的形势下发展了几年。正是中国的“一带一路”倡议为合作创造了新的条件。通过描述性分析,本文假设过去是老盟友是否可以被视为现在合作的先决条件。起初,阿尔巴尼亚评估了“一带一路”倡议的潜力,并与中国提出了一些重要项目,但最近它对“[公式:见正文]”机制表现出了更多的矛盾和不情愿。我们还审查了阿尔巴尼亚方面可能支持或削弱未来在“16+1”框架下双边合作的主要因素。
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引用次数: 0
China–EU Climate Complex Interdependence Amid Covid-19 and Geopolitical Tensions: Prospects for Future 新冠肺炎和地缘政治紧张局势中中欧气候复杂关系的相互依赖:未来展望
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-08 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740022500166
Haadia Zaman
The world is facing multiple challenges: Climate change, biodiversity loss, and extreme environmental degradation. Moreover, it has entered a new era marked by greater instability and uncertainty, due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russia–Ukraine conflict, and other geopolitical tensions. Relations between China and the European Union (EU) cannot stay immune amid these changes. In order to achieve climate neutrality at an early date, despite having different political institutions, domestic priorities, economic systems, and diverse values, both Beijing and Brussels are managing their bilateral ties and leading international efforts at climate mitigation. However, escalating rifts, different perceptions, and opposing domestic and global approaches are undercutting the efficacy of their partnership. This paper aims to deeply evaluate their climate partnership based on a common stance of generating a low-carbon economy and green transition amid geopolitical tensions, great power rivalry, and post-pandemic uncertainty. With suitable vision and strong commitments, China and the EU recognize a “win–win” opportunity in the green transition. So, regardless of mounting pressures, there is a chance that China–EU relations will not deteriorate considerably. Although geopolitical circumstances might not allow for a smooth transition, both can still reap real benefits from a deep interdependence on certain key issues.
世界正面临多重挑战:气候变化、生物多样性丧失和极端环境退化。此外,由于新冠肺炎疫情、俄乌冲突和其他地缘政治紧张局势,它已经进入了一个不稳定和不确定性更大的新时代。在这些变化中,中国和欧盟之间的关系不能幸免。为了早日实现气候中立,尽管北京和布鲁塞尔拥有不同的政治机构、国内优先事项、经济体系和不同的价值观,但它们都在管理双边关系,并领导国际社会在减缓气候变化方面的努力。然而,不断升级的裂痕、不同的看法以及国内和全球对立的做法正在削弱他们伙伴关系的效力。本文旨在基于在地缘政治紧张、大国竞争和疫情后不确定性中建立低碳经济和绿色转型的共同立场,深入评估他们的气候伙伴关系。中欧有着合适的愿景和坚定的承诺,认识到绿色转型的“双赢”机遇。因此,无论压力如何,中欧关系都有可能不会大幅恶化。尽管地缘政治环境可能不允许平稳过渡,但双方仍然可以从某些关键问题上的深度相互依存中获得真正的好处。
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引用次数: 0
Exporting the American Dream? Ideology and US China Policy Since 9/11 输出美国梦?9/11以来的意识形态与美国对华政策
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-08 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740022500154
Ma Wen
Ideology is an important though not dominant factor driving the US foreign policy. Amid intensifying great-power rivalry, Washington in recent years has increasingly stepped up its ideological offensive against Beijing. Latest US efforts in this regard include exporting core values associated with the American Dream, e.g., individual freedoms, liberal ideals, and democratic institutions. The three consecutive administrations of George W. Bush, Barack Obama, and Donald Trump had all incorporated ideological components into their policy toward Beijing despite their differences of policy priority vis-à-vis China. Long vigilant about the West’s ideological offensive, Beijing had been pushing back against Washington’s efforts by promoting a rival narrative, the Chinese Dream. Even though Beijing has roundly rejected Washington’s framing of US–China relations in years to come as democracy versus autocracy rivalry and tried hard to insulate China’s relations with the rest of the world from rising geopolitical tensions with the United States, the great and growing ideological rift between the two major powers and their divergent perspectives on and approaches to the big issues of the day may herald an era in which an increasing number of global challenges as well as bilateral disputes and crises defy easy and quick solutions.
意识形态是推动美国外交政策的一个重要但不占主导地位的因素。在大国竞争加剧的情况下,华盛顿近年来越来越多地加强了对北京的意识形态攻势。美国在这方面的最新努力包括输出与美国梦相关的核心价值观,例如个人自由、自由主义理想和民主制度。乔治·W·布什(George W.Bush)、巴拉克·奥巴马(Barack Obama)和唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump。长期以来,北京一直对西方的意识形态攻势保持警惕,一直在通过宣传一种对立的叙事——中国梦来反击华盛顿的努力。尽管北京坚决反对华盛顿将未来几年的美中关系视为民主与专制的竞争,并努力使中国与世界其他地区的关系免受与美国日益加剧的地缘政治紧张局势的影响,这两个大国之间日益严重的意识形态分歧,以及他们对当今重大问题的不同看法和方法,可能预示着一个时代,越来越多的全球挑战以及双边争端和危机难以简单快速地解决。
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引用次数: 0
The Chinese and American Military Installations in Djibouti: National and Regional Security Implications 中国和美国在吉布提的军事设施:国家和地区安全影响
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740022500130
A. Melese
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引用次数: 0
Internet Governance in China: Toward a New Cyber Civilization 中国互联网治理:迈向网络新文明
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-15 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740022500129
Liu Yajuan
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引用次数: 0
Advancing China-Africa Cooperation in the New Era: Achievements and Challenges 推进新时代中非合作:成就与挑战
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-12 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740022500117
Zhou Yuyuan
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引用次数: 0
Pandemic Diseases and Reexamination of the Concept of National Security 大流行疾病与国家安全观念的重新审视
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-20 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740022500105
Mladen Naki, Sandra Matijević
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引用次数: 0
The Sino-American Rivalry and Persian Gulf Security 中美对抗与波斯湾安全
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-20 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740022500099
T. Alfaifi, Luis da Vinha
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引用次数: 0
Great Powers in Central and Eastern Europe: Dynamics and Prospects 中欧和东欧大国:动态与前景
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.1142/s237774002250004x
Wang Hongyi
The United States, EU members, and Russia share extensive and important interests in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) in terms of geo-security, energy, and values. The US–EU–Russia trilateral interaction in this region features three characteristics: intensifying security competition between Washington and Moscow; closer transatlantic coordination against Russia; and growing wariness about China’s larger economic footprint. New changes have taken place in the regional distribution of power amid continued China–US competition, increasingly diverging values among the United States, Germany, and CEE countries like Poland and Hungary, and heightening geopolitical tensions between Washington and Germany on the one hand and Russia on the other. China–CEEC (CEE countries) cooperation is also coming under mounting geopolitical pressure, owing to Washington’s containment policy toward China, the EU’s weakening control over the CEE countries, Russia’s shift from a defensive to an offensive posture in response to Western sanctions, the new German government’s values-based diplomacy, and the European Commission’s new China policy. However, the transatlantic world is not a monolith. The EU’s weakening control over CEE countries and Washington’s deteriorating relations with Poland and Hungary are bringing potential opportunities for furthering China–CEEC cooperation. The aforementioned factors merit closer attention as important variables in CEE countries’ China policies.
美国、欧盟成员国和俄罗斯在中东欧的地缘安全、能源和价值观方面有着广泛而重要的利益。美国-欧盟-俄罗斯在该地区的三边互动具有三个特点:华盛顿和莫斯科之间的安全竞争加剧;加强跨大西洋对俄罗斯的协调;以及对中国更大的经济足迹越来越警惕。随着中美竞争的持续,美国、德国和波兰、匈牙利等中东欧国家之间的价值观日益分歧,华盛顿和德国与俄罗斯之间的地缘政治紧张局势加剧,地区权力分配发生了新的变化。由于华盛顿对中国的遏制政策、欧盟对中东欧国家的控制减弱、俄罗斯为应对西方制裁而从防御态势转变为进攻态势、德国新政府基于价值观的外交、,以及欧盟委员会的新对华政策。然而,跨大西洋世界并不是一块巨石。欧盟对中东欧国家控制的减弱,以及华盛顿与波兰和匈牙利关系的恶化,为进一步推进中国与中东欧国家合作带来了潜在机遇。上述因素作为中东欧国家对华政策的重要变量,值得进一步关注。
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China Quarterly of International Strategic Studies
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