用最差实践前沿数据包络分析模型和人工神经网络预测财务困境

IF 1.8 Q3 MANAGEMENT Nankai Business Review International Pub Date : 2022-05-24 DOI:10.1108/nbri-01-2022-0005
M. Fathi, H. Rahimi, M. Minouei
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引用次数: 3

摘要

目的本文的主要目的是使用最差实践前沿数据包络分析(WPF-DEA)模型和人工神经网络来预测财务困境。设计/方法/方法在这项研究中,使用神经网络技术来预测未来一段时间内的输入和输出。使用WPF-DEA模型,根据最差的业绩确定财务困境公司,并为这些决策单元提供改进解决方案。研究结果表明,动态WPF-DEA在企业财务困境中具有很高的可预测性,并且可以高度自信地使用。根据未来时间段的结果,JOUSH&OXYGEN预计在未来两个时间段内将是一家财务困境的公司。起源/价值近几十年来,全球化、技术变革和竞争空间增加了经济环境的不确定性。在这种情况下,经济增长当然取决于正确的决策和资源的优化配置。可以通过引入适当的工具和模型来评估企业财务状况,包括财务困境和破产。
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Predicting financial distress using the worst-practice-frontier data envelopment analysis model and artificial neural network
Purpose The main purpose of this paper is to predicate financial distress using the worst-practice-frontier data envelopment analysis (WPF-DEA) model and artificial neural network. Design/methodology/approach In this study, a neural network technique was used to forecast inputs and outputs in the future time-period. Using a WPF-DEA model, financially distressed companies were identified based on the worst performance, and an improvement solution was provided for those decision-making units. Findings This study’s findings show that dynamic WPF-DEA has high predictability in corporate financial distress, and it can be used with high confidence. Based on the future time-period results, JOUSH & OXYGEN was predicted to be a financially distressed company in the two future time-periods. Originality/value In recent decades, globalization, technological changes and a competitive space have increased uncertainty in the economic environment. In such circumstances, economic growth certainly depends on correct decision-making and optimal allocation of resources. It can be done by introducing appropriate tools and models for assessing corporate financial conditions, including financial distress and bankruptcy.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
3.60%
发文量
32
期刊介绍: Nankai Business Review International (NBRI) provides insights in to the adaptation of American and European management theory in China, the differences and exchanges between Chinese and western management styles, the relationship between Chinese enterprises’ management practice and social evolution and showcases the development and evolution of management theories based on Chinese cultural characteristics. The journal provides research of interest to managers and entrepreneurs worldwide with an interest in China as well as research associations and scholars focusing on Chinese problems in business and management.
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