CPEC动力学;双边货币互换协议与巴基斯坦国际收支

Muhammad Nadeem Javaid, Sikander Bizenjo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

中巴经济走廊被认为是中国“一带一路”倡议倡议的主要战略组成部分。2015年,两国都签署了460亿美元的协议。现在,这些投资和贷款要求返还利润和利息,这给巴基斯坦本已脆弱的国际收支带来了负担。本研究通过探讨中国与新西兰、蒙古和乌克兰的三个类似案例,调查了中巴双边货币互换协议(BSA)对巴基斯坦央行的影响。我们的分析表明,在这三种情况下,双边贸易都取得了强有力的积极成果,但中国是最重要的赢家。我们的建议建议巴基斯坦如何在短期、中期和长期内充分利用BSA。
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CPEC Dynamics; Bilateral Currency Swap Agreement And Balance of Payment of Pakistan
The China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is considered as principal strategic component of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Both countries have signed deals to the tune of $46 billion in 2015. Now these investments and loans call for repatriation of profits and interests which are causing a burden on Pakistan’s, already fragile, Balance of Payments (BoP). This study investigates the impact of China – Pakistan bilateral currency swap agreement (BSA) on Pakistan’s BoP by exploring three similar cases of BSA’s of China with: New Zealand, Mongolia, and Ukraine. Our analysis shows that bilateral trade in all the three cases has felt a strong and positive outcome but China as the foremost winner. Our recommendations suggest how Pakistan could gain the full advantage of the BSA in short, medium, and long-term.
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22
审稿时长
12 weeks
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