2019冠状病毒病对预期“新常态”下公共交通使用的影响:基于第一波数据的南亚国家案例

Niaz Mahmud Zafri , Asif Khan , Shaila Jamal , Bhuiyan Monwar Alam
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本研究试图通过使用第一波新冠肺炎期间收集的数据,调查在南亚国家孟加拉国假设的“新常态”情况下,新冠肺炎对公共交通使用的影响。大多数样本来自年轻和富裕群体。研究结果显示,与疫情前相比,很大一部分受访者预计在“新常态”期间会减少公共交通出行。为了识别预期背后的因素,开发了一个多项式逻辑回归模型。结果表明,收入、常规出行方式、新冠肺炎疫情前公共交通出行频率、出行频率和虚拟活动的预期变化、风险感知以及对预防策略的信任都会影响“新常态”下公共交通的使用。这项研究的结果将有助于了解大流行对公共交通的直接影响,并有助于为未来的大流行做好更好的准备。
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Impact of COVID-19 on public transport usage in an anticipated ‘new normal’ situation: The case of a South Asian country based on first wave data

This study attempted to investigate the impacts of COVID-19 on public transport usage in a hypothetical ‘new normal’ situation in a South Asian country, Bangladesh, by using data collected during the first wave of COVID-19. Most of the samples came from young and affluent groups. Findings of the study showed that a substantial proportion of respondents expected to reduce travel by public transport during the ‘new normal’ situation than the pre-pandemic situation. To identify the factors behind the expectation, a multinomial logistic regression model was developed. Results suggest that income, regular travel mode, frequency of travel by public transport in the pre-COVID-19 situation, expected change in trip frequency and virtual activities, risk perception, and trust in preventive strategies can influence public transport use during the ‘new normal’ situation. The results of the study would be useful in understanding the immediate impact of a pandemic on public transportation and help prepare better for future pandemics.

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