洪水对菲律宾马尼拉大市区卡车行驶的影响

Riches S. Bacero, Alexis M. Fillone
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引用次数: 0

摘要

考虑到每年台风袭击该国的频率,马尼拉大都会的洪水是一个长期存在的问题。当主要道路发生洪水时,车辆交通通常会陷入停顿,造成严重干扰,阻碍人员、货物和服务的流动。该研究从道路通行能力和设计速度降低时卡车路线变化的角度评估了洪水的影响,同时考虑了对车辆行驶距离、车辆行驶小时数、平均行驶速度等的影响。GPS数据记录器用于跟踪选定卡车在正常条件下的移动,以确定其常规路线。还进行了面对面问卷调查,以了解卡车司机在洪水事件中的行为。洪水条件下的情景模型是针对一个典型的日子开发的,在此期间,在5年和25年的洪水事件中,卡车可以在道路上行驶。在整个地铁范围内,在洪水期间,车辆行驶距离(VDT)和车辆行驶小时数(VHT)可能不一定会增加,因为包括卡车在内的一些车辆可能无法行驶或未分配,导致道路上的车辆数量减少,从而有效地降低了VDT和VHT。此外,与25年一遇洪水相比,5年一遇洪水期间的VDT更高,因为在前一次洪水期间仍有许多车辆在寻找替代路线,导致行驶距离更长。然而,仅关注被洪水淹没的道路,即使在这些被洪水淹没道路上行驶的车辆数量减少的情况下,车辆到达目的地所花费的旅行时间也会增加。
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Impact of flooding on truck movement in Metro Manila, Philippines

Flooding in Metro Manila is a perennial problem given the frequency of typhoons hitting the country every year. When a flood occurs along major roads, vehicular traffic usually results in a standstill, causing major disruptions that impede the flow of people, goods and services. The study assessed the impact of flooding in terms of changes in the route of trucks under reduced road capacities and design speeds while considering the impact on vehicle-distance travelled, vehicle-hour travelled, average travel speed, among others. GPS data loggers were used to track the movements of selected trucks during normal conditions to determine their regular routes. Face-to-face questionnaire survey was also conducted to know the behavior of truck drivers during flooding incidents. Scenario modelling under flooded conditions was developed for a typical day during which trucks are allowed to operate on the road under a 5-year and 25-year flood incident. On a metro-wide scale, during flooding, the vehicle distance travelled (VDT) and vehicle hour travelled (VHT) may not necessarily increase since some vehicles, including trucks, may not be able to travel or are unassigned resulting in a lesser number of them on the road, effectively reducing VDT and VHT. Furthermore, higher VDT during the 5-year flood event were observed compared to the 25-year flood event since there are still many vehicles travelling during the former in search of alternate routes resulting in more distance travelled. However, focusing only on flooded roads, the travel time spent by vehicles increased in order for them to reach their destinations even with reduced number of vehicles traveling on these flooded roads.

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