探索遮阳对咖啡区气候变化适应的降温效果

IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.crm.2023.100562
Leonel Lara-Estrada , Livia Rasche , Uwe A. Schneider
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气温上升是中美洲气候变化下预计咖啡种植土地适宜性降低的主要原因。农民使用遮荫树的原因之一是为了在气候变暖地区的咖啡种植园创造一个凉爽的小气候;因此,调整遮荫度可以缓解未来的高温。尽管有关于预期气候变化的数据,但没有研究涉及咖啡生产系统中遮光的冷却潜力。在这项研究中,我们使用区域气候信息(RCP 4.5)和一个简单的遮荫模型来探索遮荫作为中美洲咖啡区适应实践的潜力。根据平均气温建立了一个模型来估计小粒咖啡所需的遮荫水平。将建模的阴影数据和观测到的阴影数据进行比较。结果表明,与2000年相比,到2050年,需要增加23±18%的遮光量才能缓解气候变暖的情况。遮荫对中海拔和高海拔的咖啡区比低海拔地区更有利。此外,到2050年,需要密集遮荫(遮荫>60%)的咖啡区数量可能会翻一番。这将提高树木的生物量(碳含量),但也会增加对咖啡植物的竞争,从而影响咖啡产量。预计未来咖啡领域将在适应、缓解和生产力目标之间进行权衡。
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Exploring the cooling effect of shading for climate change adaptation in coffee areas

Rising air temperatures are the main reason for the expected reduction in land suitability for coffee cultivation under climate change in Central America. One of the reasons farmers use shade trees is to create a cooler microclimate in coffee plantations located in warming areas; therefore, adjusting the shade levels could alleviate future high temperatures. Even though data on expected climatic changes are available, no studies have addressed the cooling potential of shading in coffee production systems. In this study, we use regional climate information (RCP 4.5) and a simple shade model to explore the potential of shading as an adaptation practice in the coffee areas in Central America. A model was developed to estimate the required shade levels for Coffea arabica L. based on mean air temperature. Modeled and observed shade data were compared. Results indicate that compared to 2000, an overall increment of 23 ± 18% of shading would be required to alleviate the warming conditions by 2050. The shading will be more beneficial to coffee areas at medium and high altitudes than to areas at low ones. Also, the number of coffee areas that require dense shade levels (shading > 60%) may double by 2050. This would lead to a boost in tree biomass (carbon content) but also increase the competition for the coffee plants and consequently affect coffee yields. Trade-offs between adaptation, mitigation, and productivity objectives are expected in the coffee areas in the future.

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来源期刊
Climate Risk Management
Climate Risk Management Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
8.20
自引率
4.50%
发文量
76
审稿时长
30 weeks
期刊介绍: Climate Risk Management publishes original scientific contributions, state-of-the-art reviews and reports of practical experience on the use of knowledge and information regarding the consequences of climate variability and climate change in decision and policy making on climate change responses from the near- to long-term. The concept of climate risk management refers to activities and methods that are used by individuals, organizations, and institutions to facilitate climate-resilient decision-making. Its objective is to promote sustainable development by maximizing the beneficial impacts of climate change responses and minimizing negative impacts across the full spectrum of geographies and sectors that are potentially affected by the changing climate.
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